TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Levytskyi vs Serhii Honcharenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101191113711710
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Honcharenko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Levytskyi above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-10
Point 101 set 5, 7-10 — our read held Serhii Honcharenko at 59.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Levytskyi 25–22 Serhii Honcharenko Serhii Honcharenko has won 22 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Honcharenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-22 in 47
Levytskyi
Wrong
gap of 3 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskyi 1225 vs Honcharenko 1316
Honcharenko
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskyi 80% vs Honcharenko 40%
Levytskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskyi 60% vs Honcharenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskyi -1 · Honcharenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Honcharenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskyi 2.25 / Honcharenko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Honcharenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13201941
Levytskyi2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog23% won 14 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back18% 7 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Honcharenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 99 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it95% 55 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it87% 81 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskyi2wins
AwayHoncharenko8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskyi25%1 of 4
AwayHoncharenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskyi4Honcharenko6n = 10Honcharenko took 6 of 10
S2Levytskyi3Honcharenko7n = 10Honcharenko took 7 of 10
S3Levytskyi2Honcharenko8n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S4Levytskyi2Honcharenko6n = 8Honcharenko took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskyiHoncharenkoL − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.340.9−5.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskyiHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 297 vs 432 / 84044.1%51.4%131 / 297 vs 432 / 840Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoLevytskyi 2.25/Honcharenko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 17:29O. Levytskyi4716111281S. Honcharenko5018714113
LAug 27 · 15:00O. Levytskyi341110671S. Honcharenko4391211113
LAug 14 · 06:00O. Levytskyi371210691S. Honcharenko44101211113
LAug 7 · 09:30O. Levytskyi40914981S. Honcharenko45111211113
LAug 2 · 04:58O. Levytskyi29118551S. Honcharenko3851111113
WJul 28 · 16:00O. Levytskyi5711131111113S. Honcharenko5413159892
LJul 19 · 17:04O. Levytskyi134450S. Honcharenko331111113
LJul 19 · 12:30O. Levytskyi331011481S. Honcharenko3912511113
LJun 30 · 05:30O. Levytskyi238870S. Honcharenko331111113
WJun 18 · 14:30O. Levytskyi4011711113S. Honcharenko30511951
O. Levytskyi10
LSep 27 · 13:30A. Danylov1.80811118123O. Levytskyi1.91118811102WSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.251111113V. Hyriavyi3.757380WSep 24 · 15:00O. Badanin3.7521111532O. Levytskyi1.25118711113LSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181LSep 24 · 12:30A. Danylov1.83711911113O. Levytskyi1.8311511842WSep 13 · 16:59O. Levytskyi1.8311711113S. Zherykhin1.83911741WSep 13 · 16:00V. Khyzhnyak4.33851181O. Levytskyi1.2011119113LSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 27 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.67111111113S. Honcharenko2.10137281WSep 27 · 12:00A. Danylov3.751110911112S. Honcharenko1.25912117133LSep 25 · 10:58V. Matviichuk2.25111011113S. Honcharenko1.57712481LSep 25 · 09:30V. Saakian1.4011121112113S. Honcharenko2.7591471452WSep 25 · 08:00S. Honcharenko1.1411114123V. Khyzhnyak5.009611101WSep 25 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.507880WSep 25 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.5314662V. Matviichuk2.38121131LSep 24 · 10:38S. Honcharenko3.4061211682M. Pohorilyi1.301110911113WSep 24 · 08:30I. Sorochan2.63811931S. Honcharenko1.4411511113WSep 24 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.831411113M. Zavoloka1.8312670
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