TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vasyl Matviichuk vs Serhii Honcharenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012114118––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVasyl Matviichuk above · Serhii Honcharenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8
74 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Matviichuk 67–98 Serhii Honcharenko Vasyl Matviichuk has won 67 of their 165 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Honcharenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMatviichuk 2.25 / Honcharenko 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Honcharenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13194111
Matviichuk2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 33 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back8% 6 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Honcharenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 97 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it95% 54 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it87% 79 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMatviichuk3wins
AwayHoncharenko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHoncharenko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMatviichukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHoncharenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Matviichuk2Honcharenko8n = 10Honcharenko took 8 of 10
S2Matviichuk3Honcharenko7n = 10Honcharenko took 7 of 10
S3Matviichuk7Honcharenko3n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S4Matviichuk1Honcharenko6n = 7Honcharenko took 6 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMatviichukHoncharenkoM − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.536.9−4.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMatviichukHoncharenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 605 vs 436 / 84647.9%51.5%290 / 605 vs 436 / 846Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.936.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoncharenkoMatviichuk 2.25/Honcharenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.1%
Honcharenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 22 · 10:28V. Matviichuk49811118113S. Honcharenko3811431192
WSep 22 · 06:00V. Matviichuk3811313113S. Honcharenko379111161
LSep 17 · 07:00V. Matviichuk4281311101S. Honcharenko4411156123
LSep 15 · 05:30V. Matviichuk27551161S. Honcharenko3911116113
LSep 8 · 07:00V. Matviichuk238780S. Honcharenko331111113
LSep 3 · 08:00V. Matviichuk155640S. Honcharenko331111113
LAug 31 · 10:28V. Matviichuk368711101S. Honcharenko4111117123
LAug 31 · 06:00V. Matviichuk305113111S. Honcharenko4411911133
WAug 30 · 09:00V. Matviichuk331111113S. Honcharenko217950
LAug 27 · 12:00V. Matviichuk32861171S. Honcharenko3911116113
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 25 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.6371171272V. Matviichuk1.441191110113WSep 25 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.5055100V. Matviichuk1.501111123WSep 25 · 06:00V. Saakian1.444730V. Matviichuk2.631111113LSep 25 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.5314662V. Matviichuk2.38121131WSep 22 · 10:28V. Matviichuk2.50811118113S. Honcharenko1.5011431192WSep 22 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.508111241V. Matviichuk1.50111310113WSep 22 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.50137141122V. Matviichuk1.501511123113WSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113LSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 25 · 09:30V. Saakian1.4011121112113S. Honcharenko2.7591471452WSep 25 · 08:00S. Honcharenko1.1411114123V. Khyzhnyak5.009611101WSep 25 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.507880WSep 25 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.5314662V. Matviichuk2.38121131LSep 24 · 10:38S. Honcharenko3.4061211682M. Pohorilyi1.301110911113WSep 24 · 08:30I. Sorochan2.63811931S. Honcharenko1.4411511113WSep 24 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.831411113M. Zavoloka1.8312670WSep 24 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.20116101172S. Honcharenko4.33911124113LSep 22 · 10:28V. Matviichuk2.50811118113S. Honcharenko1.5011431192LSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113
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