TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vihen Saakian vs Vasyl Matviichuk 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Vihen Saakian
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711311––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeVihen Saakian to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVihen Saakian above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 47 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Vihen Saakian at 66.9%
47 points played in total.
H2H Vihen Saakian 7–10 Vasyl Matviichuk Vihen Saakian has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:57What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Saakian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saakian 1317 vs Matviichuk 1130
Saakian
Wrong
both rated, 187 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saakian 40% vs Matviichuk 80%
Matviichuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saakian 70% vs Matviichuk 50%
Saakian
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saakian +1 · Matviichuk +4
Matviichuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Saakian) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaakian 1.44 / Matviichuk 2.63
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Saakian)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13190484
Saakian1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 148 days ago (Apr 30) · back after a break
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite70% won 41 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Matviichuk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog28% won 33 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back8% 6 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaakian6wins
AwayMatviichuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSaakian leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaakian100%4 of 4
AwayMatviichuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saakian4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Saakian5Matviichuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Saakian7Matviichuk3n = 10Saakian took 7 of 10
S4Saakian5Matviichuk2n = 7Saakian took 5 of 7
S5Saakian2Matviichuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSaakianMatviichukS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.8+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSaakianMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 251 vs 288 / 60351.8%47.8%130 / 251 vs 288 / 603Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SaakianSaakian 1.44/Matviichuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Saakian · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 06:00V. Saakian144730V. Matviichuk331111113
WApr 29 · 08:30V. Saakian361114113V. Matviichuk2581250
WApr 23 · 09:59V. Saakian42111163113V. Matviichuk4889111192
LApr 23 · 09:00V. Saakian36911791V. Matviichuk4011711113
WApr 21 · 08:00V. Saakian491061111113V. Matviichuk4512117692
LApr 21 · 07:00V. Saakian55891113142V. Matviichuk561111711163
WApr 15 · 08:00V. Saakian331111113V. Matviichuk184770
WFeb 11 · 07:30V. Saakian4011711113V. Matviichuk35911781
LJan 5 · 14:00V. Saakian4695111472V. Matviichuk521111712113
WDec 16 · 11:30V. Saakian4181111113V. Matviichuk26114831
V. Saakian10
WApr 30 · 10:33V. Hyriavyi2.205940V. Saakian1.611111113LApr 30 · 09:30S. Honcharenko3.751161110113V. Saakian1.2591151252LApr 30 · 08:00V. Saakian1.61117891V. Hyriavyi2.2071111113LApr 30 · 06:30V. Saakian1.8396120V. Simchuk1.831111143WApr 30 · 05:00V. Saakian1.4411111010113O. Badanin2.6376121242LApr 29 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.83111102V. Saakian1.838831WApr 29 · 08:30V. Matviichuk2.2581250V. Saakian1.571114113WApr 29 · 07:30V. Saakian1.171211113V. Yarovyi4.5010770WApr 29 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.754560V. Saakian1.251111113WApr 29 · 05:30V. Saakian1.281111113S. Honcharenko3.504360
V. Matviichuk10
LSep 25 · 05:00S. Honcharenko1.5314662V. Matviichuk2.38121131WSep 22 · 10:28V. Matviichuk2.50811118113S. Honcharenko1.5011431192WSep 22 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak2.508111241V. Matviichuk1.50111310113WSep 22 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.50137141122V. Matviichuk1.501511123113WSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113LSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113LApr 29 · 08:30V. Matviichuk2.2581250V. Saakian1.571114113
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