TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Serhii Honcharenko vs Vihen Saakian 2-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Apr 29Finished
Serhii Honcharenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
11811803––––
Vihen Saakian
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingSerhii Honcharenko above · Vihen Saakian below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 3 · 0-3
Point 14 set 3, 0-3
14 points drawn · the score is 27 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Serhii Honcharenko 6–14 Vihen Saakian Serhii Honcharenko has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Saakian)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoncharenko 1.83 / Saakian 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Saakian)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #11816806
The market does not separate these two
1.83 against 1.83 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Honcharenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Saakian1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoncharenko1wins
AwaySaakian9wins
Saakian leads 9–1.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Honcharenko1Saakian9n = 10Saakian took 9 of 10
S2Honcharenko3Saakian7n = 10Saakian took 7 of 10
S3Honcharenko3Saakian7n = 10Saakian took 7 of 10
S4Honcharenko2Saakian4n = 6Saakian took 4 of 6
S5Honcharenko1Saakian2n = 3Saakian took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoncharenkoSaakianH − SBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.040.9−9.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoncharenkoSaakianBasisWin rate · lifetime551 / 1139 vs 129 / 24848.4%52%551 / 1139 vs 129 / 248Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SaakianHoncharenko 1.83/Saakian 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Saakian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Honcharenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—2
L—S. Honcharenko—1V. Saakian—3
L—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—0
L—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—1
L—S. Honcharenko—0V. Saakian—3
L—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—0
L—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—2
L—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—2
L—S. Honcharenko—0V. Saakian—3
L—S. Honcharenko—3V. Saakian—1
S. Honcharenko10
LSep 24 · 10:38S. Honcharenko3.4061211682M. Pohorilyi1.301110911113WSep 24 · 08:30I. Sorochan2.63811931S. Honcharenko1.4411511113WSep 24 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.831411113M. Zavoloka1.8312670WSep 24 · 06:30M. Pohorilyi1.20116101172S. Honcharenko4.33911124113LSep 24 · 05:30S. Honcharenko4.00511711122S. Sideltsev1.22118116143LSep 22 · 10:28V. Matviichuk2.50811118113S. Honcharenko1.5011431192WSep 22 · 09:30S. Honcharenko2.001111123M. Zavoloka1.7367100WSep 22 · 08:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.503770WSep 22 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.1711611113V. Khyzhnyak4.50411681LSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113
V. Saakian10
WApr 30 · 10:33V. Hyriavyi2.205940V. Saakian1.611111113LApr 30 · 09:30S. Honcharenko3.751161110113V. Saakian1.2591151252LApr 30 · 08:00V. Saakian1.61117891V. Hyriavyi2.2071111113LApr 30 · 06:30V. Saakian1.8396120V. Simchuk1.831111143WApr 30 · 05:00V. Saakian1.4411111010113O. Badanin2.6376121242WApr 29 · 08:30V. Matviichuk2.2581250V. Saakian1.571114113WApr 29 · 07:30V. Saakian1.171211113V. Yarovyi4.5010770WApr 29 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko3.754560V. Saakian1.251111113WApr 29 · 05:30V. Saakian1.281111113S. Honcharenko3.504360WApr 23 · 09:59V. Saakian—111163113V. Matviichuk—89111192
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