TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak vs Vasyl Matviichuk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Volodymyr Khyzhnyak
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111131210411––
Vasyl Matviichuk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeVasyl Matviichuk to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Khyzhnyak above · Vasyl Matviichuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 80 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vasyl Matviichuk at 63.3%
80 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Khyzhnyak 12–15 Vasyl Matviichuk Volodymyr Khyzhnyak has won 12 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Matviichuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-15 in 27
Matviichuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khyzhnyak 1086 vs Matviichuk 1070
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khyzhnyak 60% vs Matviichuk 40%
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khyzhnyak 50% vs Matviichuk 30%
Khyzhnyak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khyzhnyak +1 · Matviichuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Matviichuk) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Matviichuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhyzhnyak 2.50 / Matviichuk 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Matviichuk)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13172956
Khyzhnyak2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 19 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back7% 3 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 25
Matviichuk1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 79 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it84% 63 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhyzhnyak2wins
AwayMatviichuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMatviichuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhyzhnyak50%2 of 4
AwayMatviichuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khyzhnyak4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S2Khyzhnyak4Matviichuk6n = 10Matviichuk took 6 of 10
S3Khyzhnyak3Matviichuk7n = 10Matviichuk took 7 of 10
S4Khyzhnyak0Matviichuk6n = 6Matviichuk took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhyzhnyakMatviichukK − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.438.8−7.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhyzhnyakMatviichukBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 164 vs 285 / 60134.2%47.4%56 / 164 vs 285 / 601Avg sets wonper match1.51.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.935.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MatviichukKhyzhnyak 2.50/Matviichuk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Matviichuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Matviichuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak351111133V. Matviichuk2045110
LAug 14 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak331011841V. Matviichuk4312911113
LAug 2 · 11:59V. Khyzhnyak357125111V. Matviichuk45111011133
LJul 21 · 06:00V. Khyzhnyak29114591V. Matviichuk4071111113
LJun 9 · 07:00V. Khyzhnyak144910V. Matviichuk331111113
LMay 22 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3911711552V. Matviichuk49811811113
WJan 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak491110116113V. Matviichuk4791271182
LJan 10 · 11:11V. Khyzhnyak2310940V. Matviichuk341211113
LJan 10 · 07:30V. Khyzhnyak207580V. Matviichuk331111113
LJul 10 · 14:00V. Khyzhnyak379121061V. Matviichuk44111012113
V. Khyzhnyak10
WSep 22 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.61512791V. Khyzhnyak2.20111011113LSep 22 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.1711611113V. Khyzhnyak4.50411681WSep 22 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi2.004590V. Khyzhnyak1.731111113LSep 13 · 16:00V. Khyzhnyak4.33851181O. Levytskyi1.2011119113WSep 13 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.281281191V. Khyzhnyak3.5014115113LSep 13 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.611111123V. Khyzhnyak2.2048100WSep 13 · 12:30A. Danylov2.5011121371V. Khyzhnyak1.5041415113LSep 10 · 10:34V. Khyzhnyak2.759280S. Zherykhin1.401111113LSep 10 · 09:30S. Zherykhin1.5711711113V. Khyzhnyak2.25611861WSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110
V. Matviichuk10
WSep 22 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.50137141122V. Matviichuk1.501511123113WSep 22 · 06:00S. Honcharenko1.539111161V. Matviichuk2.3811313113LSep 22 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.4411612113V. Matviichuk2.637111081LSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112LSep 20 · 12:30V. Hyriavyi2.7517121193V. Matviichuk1.401910781LSep 17 · 09:00V. Matviichuk2.63118941M. Zavoloka1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak3.251111133V. Matviichuk1.3345110
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.