TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Zvolynskyi vs Roman Sveshnykov 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111181113––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:16 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Zvolynskyi above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 59.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Zvolynskyi 7–9 Roman Sveshnykov Yurii Zvolynskyi has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Sveshnykov beat Zvolynskyi 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sveshnykov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Sveshnykov
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zvolynskyi 1354 vs Sveshnykov 1294
Zvolynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zvolynskyi 60% vs Sveshnykov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zvolynskyi 50% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zvolynskyi +2 · Sveshnykov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sveshnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zvolynskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZvolynskyi 2.25 / Sveshnykov 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13207490
Zvolynskyi2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 36 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back10% 8 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 53
Sveshnykov1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite76% won 34 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZvolynskyi2wins
AwaySveshnykov8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZvolynskyi25%1 of 4
AwaySveshnykov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zvolynskyi4Sveshnykov6n = 10Sveshnykov took 6 of 10
S2Zvolynskyi2Sveshnykov8n = 10Sveshnykov took 8 of 10
S3Zvolynskyi2Sveshnykov8n = 10Sveshnykov took 8 of 10
S4Zvolynskyi4Sveshnykov3n = 7Zvolynskyi took 4 of 7
S5Zvolynskyi1Sveshnykov2n = 3Sveshnykov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZvolynskyiSveshnykovZ − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.840.6−5.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZvolynskyiSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 569 vs 121 / 29153.1%41.6%302 / 569 vs 121 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovZvolynskyi 2.25/Sveshnykov 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sveshnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi43111041172R. Sveshnykov51912118113
LAug 23 · 12:30Y. Zvolynskyi214980R. Sveshnykov331111113
LJul 12 · 10:03Y. Zvolynskyi4011281182R. Sveshnykov42511114113
WJul 12 · 09:00Y. Zvolynskyi4391111123R. Sveshnykov271133101
LJun 6 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi36914581R. Sveshnykov45111211113
LMay 31 · 14:00Y. Zvolynskyi3511101041R. Sveshnykov4271212113
LMay 24 · 17:04Y. Zvolynskyi4310411181R. Sveshnykov5112118203
LMay 24 · 15:00Y. Zvolynskyi207580R. Sveshnykov331111113
LApr 25 · 10:38Y. Zvolynskyi2412930R. Sveshnykov361411113
WApr 25 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi43118211113R. Sveshnykov4681111972
Y. Zvolynskyi10
WSep 27 · 16:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.441111113S. Honcharenko2.637850WSep 27 · 15:00A. Danylov4.331061181Y. Zvolynskyi1.2012117113LSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172LSep 27 · 12:30O. Levytskyi3.4011311113Y. Zvolynskyi1.30611731WSep 21 · 10:03E. Bakin2.2521381122Y. Zvolynskyi1.571111115113LSep 21 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.6191181182I. Sorochan2.20113114113WSep 21 · 08:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.17313611113O. Shvydkyi4.50111111492WSep 21 · 07:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.617111411113E. Bakin2.2011816882LSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.2277100A. Lysyi4.001111123LSep 16 · 10:29V. Simchuk1.441111113Y. Zvolynskyi2.637690
R. Sveshnykov10
WSep 27 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3091111113A. Danylov3.40113471LSep 27 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.83813581O. Levytskyi1.83111111113WSep 27 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov1.57912118113Y. Zvolynskyi2.25111041172WSep 27 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.67111111113S. Honcharenko2.10137281LSep 24 · 17:38O. Levytskyi1.911381111113R. Sveshnykov1.80111113692WSep 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3681112113O. Badanin3.001171091WSep 24 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.30119911113A. Danylov3.4051111772WSep 24 · 14:00R. Sveshnykov2.2011114113O. Levytskyi1.61841181WSep 24 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.2011141111113V. Hyriavyi4.3351613942WSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.