TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viacheslav Yarovyi vs Roman Sveshnykov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113911117119––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:20 and never touched: 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingViacheslav Yarovyi above · Roman Sveshnykov below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 78.3%
72 points played in total.
H2H Viacheslav Yarovyi 0–1 Roman Sveshnykov Viacheslav Yarovyi has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:2078.3%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
clears by 14.6pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sveshnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Yarovyi 952 vs Sveshnykov 1355
Sveshnykov
Wrong
both rated, 404 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yarovyi 20% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yarovyi 20% vs Sveshnykov 80%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yarovyi -4 · Sveshnykov -1
Yarovyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYarovyi 2.25 / Sveshnykov 1.571
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Sveshnykov)+14.6pp
Setka Cup · #13234774
Yarovyi2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 14 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back9% 4 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Sveshnykov1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite79% won 41 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it88% 30 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeYarovyi0wins
AwaySveshnykov1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricYarovyiSveshnykovY − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.050.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYarovyiSveshnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 104 vs 128 / 29926.9%42.8%28 / 104 vs 128 / 299Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.235.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovYarovyi 2.25/Sveshnykov 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.3%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Yarovyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 30 · 09:30V. Yarovyi43411111072R. Sveshnykov50118812113
V. Yarovyi10
LOct 3 · 14:00V. Yarovyi2.63114841A. Danylov1.449111183LOct 3 · 13:00V. Yarovyi6.5055100V. Saakian1.101111123LAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072LAug 30 · 08:00V. Yarovyi3.257880V. Matviichuk1.331111113WAug 30 · 06:30V. Yarovyi2.631111113A. Lysyi1.449590LAug 30 · 05:00V. Yarovyi3.7561111782S. Honcharenko1.25118911113LAug 29 · 17:35A. Danylov1.506111112113V. Yarovyi2.5011871432WAug 29 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.6311611113S. Zherykhin1.44911931LAug 29 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.109670A. Lysyi1.671111113LAug 29 · 14:00V. Yarovyi3.254480O. Levytskyi1.331111113
R. Sveshnykov10
LOct 3 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov2.2512116141V. Saakian1.5714311163WOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113WOct 3 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281111113A. Danylov3.509450WOct 2 · 15:30S. Zherykhin5.50149491R. Sveshnykov1.13121111113WOct 2 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov1.5711119113S. Honcharenko2.25761161WOct 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi1.73114681R. Sveshnykov2.0081111113WOct 2 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281011711113A. Danylov3.5012311462WSep 27 · 17:30Y. Zvolynskyi2.258911111R. Sveshnykov1.5711118133WSep 27 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3091111113A. Danylov3.40113471WAug 30 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov1.13118812113V. Yarovyi5.50411111072
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