TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Roman Sveshnykov vs Stanislav Zherykhin 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111145111816711
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:47 and never touched: 87.4% is still 87.4%
Graded at full timeRoman Sveshnykov to win
87.4%
87.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRoman Sveshnykov above · Stanislav Zherykhin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 18-16
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 103 set 5, 7-11 · our read held Roman Sveshnykov at 87.4%
103 points played in total.
H2H Roman Sveshnykov 6–1 Stanislav Zherykhin Stanislav Zherykhin has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:4787.4%Our read88.9%to break even at 1.125
short by 1.5pp88.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.125 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Sveshnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Sveshnykov
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sveshnykov 1333 vs Zherykhin 1042
Sveshnykov
Wrong
both rated, 291 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sveshnykov 60% vs Zherykhin 20%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sveshnykov 80% vs Zherykhin 20%
Sveshnykov
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sveshnykov +1 · Zherykhin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% · Strong (leans Sveshnykov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sveshnykov form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSveshnykov 1.125 / Zherykhin 5.50
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Sveshnykov)-1.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240384
Sveshnykov1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite79% won 44 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Zherykhin5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 18 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back17% 8 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSveshnykov6wins
AwayZherykhin1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSveshnykov leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSveshnykov100%4 of 4
AwayZherykhin33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sveshnykov4Zherykhin3n = 7Sveshnykov took 4 of 7
S2Sveshnykov7Zherykhin0n = 7Sveshnykov took 7 of 7
S3Sveshnykov5Zherykhin2n = 7Sveshnykov took 5 of 7
S4Sveshnykov4Zherykhin0n = 4Sveshnykov took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSveshnykovZherykhinS − ZBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.333.0+6.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSveshnykovZherykhinBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 303 vs 35 / 10342.9%34%130 / 303 vs 35 / 103Avg sets wonper match1.81.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.635.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SveshnykovSveshnykov 1.13/Zherykhin 5.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.4%
Sveshnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zherykhin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LOct 4 · 06:00R. Sveshnykov5091151872S. Zherykhin531141116113
WOct 3 · 13:30R. Sveshnykov4011117113S. Zherykhin31561191
WOct 2 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov45121111113S. Zherykhin36149491
WSep 13 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov3631111113S. Zherykhin38119991
WJun 13 · 12:00R. Sveshnykov351111133S. Zherykhin2779110
WMay 31 · 15:00R. Sveshnykov331111113S. Zherykhin195770
WApr 11 · 09:30R. Sveshnykov361311123S. Zherykhin27116100
R. Sveshnykov10
WOct 4 · 07:00R. Sveshnykov1.361111109113V. Khyzhnyak3.0056121122WOct 3 · 17:11V. Saakian2.25891181R. Sveshnykov1.5711116113LOct 3 · 15:30V. Yarovyi2.2511911113R. Sveshnykov1.57311791LOct 3 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov2.2512116141V. Saakian1.5714311163WOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113WOct 3 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281111113A. Danylov3.509450WOct 2 · 15:30S. Zherykhin5.50149491R. Sveshnykov1.13121111113WOct 2 · 14:30R. Sveshnykov1.5711119113S. Honcharenko2.25761161WOct 2 · 13:30O. Levytskyi1.73114681R. Sveshnykov2.0081111113WOct 2 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281011711113A. Danylov3.5012311462
S. Zherykhin10
LOct 4 · 07:30O. Badanin1.537101111113S. Zherykhin2.3811124472WOct 4 · 05:00V. Yarovyi2.0011116762S. Zherykhin1.73871111113LOct 3 · 16:30V. Yarovyi2.381161411113S. Zherykhin1.53131112892LOct 3 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8011811652A. Danylov1.9191181193LOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113LOct 3 · 12:00S. Zherykhin4.5091111592V. Saakian1.17119711113LOct 2 · 16:30S. Zherykhin2.25611751O. Levytskyi1.5711911113LOct 2 · 15:30S. Zherykhin5.50149491R. Sveshnykov1.13121111113LOct 2 · 14:00S. Zherykhin1.53861171A. Danylov2.3811118113LOct 2 · 13:00S. Zherykhin4.5077100S. Honcharenko1.171111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.