TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Stanislav Zherykhin vs Anton Danylov 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11981111861159
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeStanislav Zherykhin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Zherykhin above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-8
Point 88 set 5, 5-8 · our read held Stanislav Zherykhin at 54.0%
88 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Stanislav Zherykhin 8–5 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:5654.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Zherykhin
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Zherykhin
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zherykhin 1045 vs Danylov 1077
Danylov
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zherykhin 0% vs Danylov 40%
Danylov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zherykhin 30% vs Danylov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zherykhin -6 · Danylov +1
Zherykhin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Zherykhin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZherykhin 1.80 / Danylov 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zherykhin)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234860
Zherykhin1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 13 of 22
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Danylov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 29 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZherykhin7wins
AwayDanylov3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZherykhin leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZherykhin100%6 of 6
AwayDanylov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zherykhin6Danylov4n = 10Zherykhin took 6 of 10
S2Zherykhin3Danylov7n = 10Danylov took 7 of 10
S3Zherykhin8Danylov2n = 10Zherykhin took 8 of 10
S4Zherykhin4Danylov3n = 7Zherykhin took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZherykhinDanylovZ − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.5−0.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZherykhinDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 98 vs 47 / 14533.7%32.4%33 / 98 vs 47 / 145Avg sets wonper match1.61.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.334.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZherykhinZherykhin 1.80/Danylov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zherykhin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Danylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 2 · 14:00S. Zherykhin32861171A. Danylov4111118113
WSep 20 · 12:00S. Zherykhin4011117113A. Danylov28461171
WSep 13 · 13:30S. Zherykhin44117114113A. Danylov4571171192
WSep 6 · 09:30S. Zherykhin4012511123A. Danylov3710116101
LAug 29 · 12:00S. Zherykhin23161151A. Danylov4211119113
LJul 26 · 12:00S. Zherykhin2151060A. Danylov341112113
WJul 19 · 16:30S. Zherykhin401811113A. Danylov2816750
WJul 12 · 14:30S. Zherykhin4111612123A. Danylov3981110101
WJun 7 · 05:00S. Zherykhin331111113A. Danylov238780
WMay 23 · 05:00S. Zherykhin50871111133A. Danylov48111178112
S. Zherykhin10
LOct 3 · 13:30S. Zherykhin5.00561191R. Sveshnykov1.1411117113LOct 3 · 12:00S. Zherykhin4.5091111592V. Saakian1.17119711113LOct 2 · 16:30S. Zherykhin2.25611751O. Levytskyi1.5711911113LOct 2 · 15:30S. Zherykhin5.50149491R. Sveshnykov1.13121111113LOct 2 · 14:00S. Zherykhin1.53861171A. Danylov2.3811118113LOct 2 · 13:00S. Zherykhin4.5077100S. Honcharenko1.171111123WSep 20 · 17:29S. Zherykhin2.201122A. Lysyi1.61310WSep 20 · 16:00V. Matviichuk1.804870S. Zherykhin1.911111113WSep 20 · 14:30V. Hyriavyi2.638840S. Zherykhin1.441111113LSep 20 · 13:00A. Lysyi1.571211623S. Zherykhin2.251091111
A. Danylov10
WOct 3 · 14:00V. Yarovyi2.63114841A. Danylov1.449111183LOct 3 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281111113A. Danylov3.509450LOct 2 · 17:31A. Danylov2.759680O. Levytskyi1.401111113WOct 2 · 16:00A. Danylov3.25211113113S. Honcharenko1.3311891182LOct 2 · 15:00O. Levytskyi1.91101111113A. Danylov1.80123531WOct 2 · 14:00S. Zherykhin1.53861171A. Danylov2.3811118113LOct 2 · 12:30R. Sveshnykov1.281011711113A. Danylov3.5012311462LSep 27 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3091111113A. Danylov3.40113471LSep 27 · 15:00A. Danylov4.331061181Y. Zvolynskyi1.2012117113WSep 27 · 13:30A. Danylov1.80811118123O. Levytskyi1.91118811102
Upcoming Matches
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