TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yurii Urezchenko vs Vihen Saakian 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
13117116111191012
Vihen Saakian
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingYurii Urezchenko above · Vihen Saakian below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 101 set 5, 10-12
101 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Urezchenko 9–20 Vihen Saakian Yurii Urezchenko has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Urezchenko beat Saakian 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrezchenko 3.00 / Saakian 1.363
Setka Cup · #13232477
Urezchenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 36 of 128
Down 0–1, comes back13% 12 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Saakian1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite74% won 40 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrezchenko3wins
AwaySaakian7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSaakian leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrezchenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySaakian87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urezchenko2Saakian8n = 10Saakian took 8 of 10
S2Urezchenko5Saakian5n = 10split evenly
S3Urezchenko4Saakian6n = 10Saakian took 6 of 10
S4Urezchenko1Saakian2n = 3Saakian took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrezchenkoSaakianU − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.035.7−5.7per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrezchenkoSaakianBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 452 vs 136 / 25844%52.7%199 / 452 vs 136 / 258Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SaakianUrezchenko 3.00/Saakian 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Saakian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 06:00Y. Urezchenko4741116163V. Saakian4811914141
LApr 29 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko154560V. Saakian331111113
LApr 21 · 10:00Y. Urezchenko237880V. Saakian331111113
LApr 21 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko31413681V. Saakian44111111113
WApr 15 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko341112113V. Saakian2391040
WApr 14 · 09:30Y. Urezchenko341111123V. Saakian2789100
LApr 14 · 06:00Y. Urezchenko2571080V. Saakian341112113
LApr 8 · 10:29Y. Urezchenko259790V. Saakian331111113
LApr 8 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko48111111692V. Saakian49136811113
LApr 3 · 06:00Y. Urezchenko183960V. Saakian331111113
Y. Urezchenko10
LOct 2 · 09:00O. Badanin1.7361115113Y. Urezchenko2.001161391WOct 2 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.75891191Y. Urezchenko1.4011119113WOct 2 · 06:00V. Saakian1.1711914141Y. Urezchenko4.5041116163WOct 2 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.2211411572Y. Urezchenko4.00211511113LOct 1 · 09:30V. Matviichuk1.401111113Y. Urezchenko2.752870LOct 1 · 08:00Y. Urezchenko2.0011211282V. Khyzhnyak1.73711811113WOct 1 · 06:30Y. Urezchenko2.001111113S. Honcharenko1.735670LOct 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.507860M. Zavoloka1.281111113WSep 10 · 10:03Y. Urezchenko1.251311113O. Shvydkyi3.7511450LSep 10 · 09:00V. Matviichuk1.4011111011133Y. Urezchenko2.75661213112
V. Saakian10
WOct 2 · 09:30V. Saakian1.7311117113M. Zavoloka2.00751191WOct 2 · 08:30V. Saakian1.171111123V. Hyriavyi4.5068100WOct 2 · 07:00V. Saakian1.4411913113O. Badanin2.633111181LOct 2 · 06:00V. Saakian1.1711914141Y. Urezchenko4.5041116163WSep 25 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi3.759480V. Saakian1.251111113WSep 25 · 09:30V. Saakian1.4011121112113S. Honcharenko2.7591471452WSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian1.36121111113V. Hyriavyi3.00144551WSep 25 · 07:00V. Saakian1.171112113V. Khyzhnyak4.5041040LSep 25 · 06:00V. Saakian1.444730V. Matviichuk2.631111113WApr 30 · 10:33V. Hyriavyi2.205940V. Saakian1.611111113
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