TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vihen Saakian vs Mykola Zavoloka 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Vihen Saakian
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115711119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVihen Saakian to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVihen Saakian above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Vihen Saakian at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2854.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Saakian
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Saakian 1331 vs Zavoloka 1239
Saakian
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saakian 80% vs Zavoloka 40%
Saakian
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saakian 70% vs Zavoloka 50%
Saakian
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saakian +2 · Zavoloka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Saakian) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Saakian form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaakian 1.727 / Zavoloka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Saakian)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229335
Saakian1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 40 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Zavoloka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 11 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back6% 1 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSaakianZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 257 vs 55 / 9952.5%55.6%135 / 257 vs 55 / 99Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SaakianSaakian 1.73/Zavoloka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Saakian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Saakian won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Saakian10
WOct 2 · 10:29Y. Urezchenko3.00137611102V. Saakian1.361111119123WOct 2 · 08:30V. Saakian1.171111123V. Hyriavyi4.5068100WOct 2 · 07:00V. Saakian1.4411913113O. Badanin2.633111181LOct 2 · 06:00V. Saakian1.1711914141Y. Urezchenko4.5041116163WSep 25 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi3.759480V. Saakian1.251111113WSep 25 · 09:30V. Saakian1.4011121112113S. Honcharenko2.7591471452WSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian1.36121111113V. Hyriavyi3.00144551WSep 25 · 07:00V. Saakian1.171112113V. Khyzhnyak4.5041040LSep 25 · 06:00V. Saakian1.444730V. Matviichuk2.631111113WApr 30 · 10:33V. Hyriavyi2.205940V. Saakian1.611111113
M. Zavoloka10
LOct 2 · 09:58O. Badanin3.0041211113M. Zavoloka1.361110591WOct 2 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.441111123O. Badanin2.6379100WOct 2 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.111111113V. Hyriavyi6.009870LOct 2 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.2211411572Y. Urezchenko4.00211511113LOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113LOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.7359110M. Zavoloka2.001111133WOct 1 · 06:00V. Matviichuk2.6316650M. Zavoloka1.441811113WOct 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.507860M. Zavoloka1.281111113LSep 24 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.5711911113M. Zavoloka2.25111951
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