TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykola Zavoloka vs Viktor Hyriavyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118117––––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:24 and never touched: 87.2% is still 87.2%
Graded at full timeMykola Zavoloka to win
87.2%
87.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Zavoloka above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Mykola Zavoloka at 87.2%
57 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Zavoloka 3–0 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2487.2%Our read90.0%to break even at 1.111
short by 2.8pp90.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.111 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Zavoloka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Zavoloka
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zavoloka 1228 vs Hyriavyi 918
Zavoloka
Correct
both rated, 310 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zavoloka 40% vs Hyriavyi 0%
Zavoloka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zavoloka 40% vs Hyriavyi 10%
Zavoloka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zavoloka -3 · Hyriavyi -9
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% · Strong (leans Zavoloka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyriavyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavoloka 1.111 / Hyriavyi 6.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Zavoloka)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229400
Zavoloka1.11
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 36 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Hyriavyi6.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 28 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZavoloka3wins
AwayHyriavyi0wins
Zavoloka leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavoloka100%3 of 3
AwayHyriavyin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavoloka3Hyriavyi0n = 3Zavoloka took 3 of 3
S2Zavoloka3Hyriavyi0n = 3Zavoloka took 3 of 3
S3Zavoloka3Hyriavyi0n = 3Zavoloka took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZavolokaHyriavyiZ − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.719.7+14.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavolokaHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 98 vs 111 / 35255.1%31.5%54 / 98 vs 111 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.632.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaZavoloka 1.11/Hyriavyi 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.2%
Zavoloka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zavoloka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WOct 2 · 06:30M. Zavoloka331111113V. Hyriavyi249870
WSep 22 · 06:30M. Zavoloka351113113V. Hyriavyi2881190
WSep 8 · 07:30M. Zavoloka331111113V. Hyriavyi71330
M. Zavoloka10
LOct 2 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.2211411572Y. Urezchenko4.00211511113LOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113LOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.7359110M. Zavoloka2.001111133WOct 1 · 06:00V. Matviichuk2.6316650M. Zavoloka1.441811113WOct 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.507860M. Zavoloka1.281111113LSep 24 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.5711911113M. Zavoloka2.25111951LSep 24 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.831411113M. Zavoloka1.8312670LSep 24 · 06:00I. Sorochan1.73131113113M. Zavoloka2.0011131161WSep 24 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.3614514972M. Zavoloka3.0012111211113
V. Hyriavyi10
LOct 2 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.255730O. Badanin1.331111113LSep 28 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.63591141V. Matviichuk1.4411114113LSep 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113V. Hyriavyi2.206750LSep 28 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.25611411113V. Hyriavyi3.7511711742LSep 28 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.2881111113V. Hyriavyi3.50118791LSep 25 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi3.759480V. Saakian1.251111113LSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian1.36121111113V. Hyriavyi3.00144551LSep 25 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.5055100V. Matviichuk1.501111123LSep 25 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.507880WSep 25 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi2.20118118113V. Khyzhnyak1.6171161192
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