TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anatoliy Lysyi vs Viktor Hyriavyi 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118117119––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:22 and never touched — 77.5% is still 77.5%
Graded at full timeAnatoliy Lysyi to win
77.5%
77.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnatoliy Lysyi above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Anatoliy Lysyi at 77.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Anatoliy Lysyi 30–10 Viktor Hyriavyi Viktor Hyriavyi has won 10 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:22What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lysyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-10 in 40
Lysyi
Correct
gap of 20 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lysyi 1213 vs Hyriavyi 954
Lysyi
Correct
both rated, 259 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lysyi 60% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Lysyi
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lysyi 80% vs Hyriavyi 20%
Lysyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lysyi +1 · Hyriavyi -4
Hyriavyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Lysyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLysyi 1.28 / Hyriavyi 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Lysyi)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13208147
Lysyi1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 21) · back after a break
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite73% won 59 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Hyriavyi3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 30 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back15% 13 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLysyi7wins
AwayHyriavyi3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLysyi leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLysyi71.4%5 of 7
AwayHyriavyi33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lysyi7Hyriavyi3n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S2Lysyi6Hyriavyi4n = 10Lysyi took 6 of 10
S3Lysyi7Hyriavyi3n = 10Lysyi took 7 of 10
S4Lysyi6Hyriavyi2n = 8Lysyi took 6 of 8
S5Lysyi1Hyriavyi3n = 4Hyriavyi took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLysyiHyriavyiL − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.235.9+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLysyiHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 415 vs 111 / 35144.3%31.6%184 / 415 vs 111 / 351Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.532.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LysyiLysyi 1.28/Hyriavyi 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Lysyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lysyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi341111123V. Hyriavyi2789100
LSep 6 · 05:30A. Lysyi3511115262V. Hyriavyi47951111113
LAug 31 · 05:30A. Lysyi4211116952V. Hyriavyi43641111113
LAug 3 · 05:30A. Lysyi5197151192V. Hyriavyi541111138113
WJul 6 · 05:28A. Lysyi43111011113V. Hyriavyi31912821
WJun 15 · 05:30A. Lysyi4211911113V. Hyriavyi27611461
WJun 8 · 08:30A. Lysyi4514911113V. Hyriavyi341211381
WApr 17 · 14:30A. Lysyi331111113V. Hyriavyi239680
WMar 27 · 09:30A. Lysyi49811811113V. Hyriavyi3911511662
WMar 20 · 06:30A. Lysyi3851111113V. Hyriavyi34118781
A. Lysyi10
LSep 28 · 06:30V. Khyzhnyak5.0011912113A. Lysyi1.149111091WSep 21 · 10:35A. Lysyi3.5011117113I. Sorochan1.28571141LSep 21 · 09:00E. Bakin1.25611117113A. Lysyi3.7511761162WSep 21 · 07:30O. Shvydkyi3.503670A. Lysyi1.281111113WSep 21 · 06:00Y. Zvolynskyi1.2277100A. Lysyi4.001111123LSep 21 · 05:00I. Sorochan1.25691111113A. Lysyi3.7511116862LSep 20 · 17:29S. Zherykhin2.201122A. Lysyi1.61310WSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860WSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100LSep 20 · 14:00A. Lysyi1.91770V. Matviichuk1.8011112
V. Hyriavyi10
LSep 25 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi3.759480V. Saakian1.251111113LSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian1.36121111113V. Hyriavyi3.00144551LSep 25 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.5055100V. Matviichuk1.501111123LSep 25 · 06:30S. Honcharenko1.281111113V. Hyriavyi3.507880WSep 25 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi2.20118118113V. Khyzhnyak1.6171161192LSep 24 · 17:09V. Hyriavyi3.2511790O. Badanin1.331311113LSep 24 · 16:00O. Levytskyi1.251111113V. Hyriavyi3.757380WSep 24 · 14:30A. Danylov1.67111011542V. Hyriavyi2.10512811113LSep 24 · 13:00R. Sveshnykov1.2011141111113V. Hyriavyi4.3351613942LSep 20 · 15:30A. Lysyi1.281111123V. Hyriavyi3.5089100
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