TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Sorochan vs Mykola Zavoloka 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Ihor Sorochan
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131111131311116––
Mykola Zavoloka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIhor Sorochan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sorochan above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 89 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Ihor Sorochan at 54.0%
89 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sorochan 2–0 Mykola Zavoloka Mykola Zavoloka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sorochan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sorochan 1324 vs Zavoloka 1256
Sorochan
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sorochan 80% vs Zavoloka 60%
Sorochan
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sorochan 50% vs Zavoloka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sorochan -1 · Zavoloka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sorochan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sorochan form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSorochan 1.73 / Zavoloka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sorochan)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13185374
Sorochan1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 37 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it82% 54 of 66
Zavoloka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 9 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSorochan2wins
AwayZavoloka0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSorochan leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSorochanZavolokaS − ZBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.042.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSorochanZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 419 vs 50 / 8955.4%56.2%232 / 419 vs 50 / 89Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SorochanSorochan 1.73/Zavoloka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sorochan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sorochan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 24 · 06:00I. Sorochan48131113113M. Zavoloka4111131161
WSep 9 · 06:30I. Sorochan50111189113M. Zavoloka4358111182
I. Sorochan10
LSep 21 · 10:35A. Lysyi3.5011117113I. Sorochan1.28571141WSep 21 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.6191181182I. Sorochan2.20113114113WSep 21 · 08:00I. Sorochan1.731111113E. Bakin2.007720WSep 21 · 06:30I. Sorochan1.221111113O. Shvydkyi4.004680WSep 21 · 05:00I. Sorochan1.25691111113A. Lysyi3.7511116862LSep 18 · 10:04S. Honcharenko1.441111133I. Sorochan2.6378110LSep 18 · 09:30I. Sorochan3.2511128101M. Pohorilyi1.3361411123LSep 18 · 08:30I. Sorochan1.739970N. Priadko2.001111113LSep 18 · 07:00I. Sorochan2.2011970S. Honcharenko1.611311113WSep 18 · 06:00I. Sorochan2.101111113P. Shulhachyk1.674640
M. Zavoloka10
WSep 24 · 05:00M. Pohorilyi1.3614514972M. Zavoloka3.0012111211113WSep 23 · 10:04M. Pohorilyi1.73811681M. Zavoloka2.0011811113LSep 23 · 09:30V. Simchuk1.301211113M. Zavoloka3.4010650LSep 23 · 08:00M. Zavoloka2.63651151V. Kurliuk1.4411119113WSep 23 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.8311127113E. Bakin1.838101171LSep 23 · 05:00M. Zavoloka2.637460M. Pohorilyi1.441111113LSep 22 · 09:59V. Khyzhnyak2.001211113M. Zavoloka1.7310570LSep 22 · 09:30S. Honcharenko2.001111123M. Zavoloka1.7367100LSep 22 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.61512791V. Khyzhnyak2.20111011113WSep 22 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.171113113V. Hyriavyi4.5081190
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