TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Badanin vs Mykola Zavoloka 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111210115119––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Mykola Zavoloka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 73 set 4, 11-9
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 0–3 Mykola Zavoloka Oleksandr Badanin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zavoloka beat Badanin 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavoloka form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 3.00 / Zavoloka 1.363
Setka Cup · #13232355
Badanin3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog31% won 11 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Zavoloka1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 36 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBadanin0wins
AwayZavoloka3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderZavoloka leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBadaninn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZavoloka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin0Zavoloka3n = 3Zavoloka took 3 of 3
S2Badanin2Zavoloka1n = 3Badanin took 2 of 3
S3Badanin1Zavoloka2n = 3Zavoloka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricBadaninZavolokaB − ZBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match33.041.3−8.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninZavolokaBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 321 vs 55 / 10047.7%55%153 / 321 vs 55 / 100Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZavolokaBadanin 3.00/Zavoloka 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–1
Badanin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LOct 2 · 08:00O. Badanin2679100M. Zavoloka341111123
LSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin41511111132M. Zavoloka51119713113
LJun 28 · 14:58O. Badanin32911841M. Zavoloka3911611113
O. Badanin10
WOct 2 · 09:00O. Badanin1.7361115113Y. Urezchenko2.001161391LOct 2 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.441111123O. Badanin2.6379100LOct 2 · 07:00V. Saakian1.4411913113O. Badanin2.633111181WOct 2 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.255730O. Badanin1.331111113WSep 24 · 17:09V. Hyriavyi3.2511790O. Badanin1.331311113LSep 24 · 16:30R. Sveshnykov1.3681112113O. Badanin3.001171091LSep 24 · 15:00O. Badanin3.7521111532O. Levytskyi1.25118711113WSep 24 · 13:30O. Badanin1.5011116113A. Danylov2.50741171WSep 24 · 12:00O. Badanin1.3611119133V. Hyriavyi3.009711111LSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550
M. Zavoloka10
LOct 2 · 09:30V. Saakian1.7311117113M. Zavoloka2.00751191WOct 2 · 08:00M. Zavoloka1.441111123O. Badanin2.6379100WOct 2 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.111111113V. Hyriavyi6.009870LOct 2 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.2211411572Y. Urezchenko4.00211511113LOct 1 · 09:58M. Zavoloka1.918790V. Khyzhnyak1.801111113LOct 1 · 09:00V. Khyzhnyak1.73111187113M. Zavoloka2.0075111192WOct 1 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.7359110M. Zavoloka2.001111133WOct 1 · 06:00V. Matviichuk2.6316650M. Zavoloka1.441811113WOct 1 · 05:00Y. Urezchenko3.507860M. Zavoloka1.281111113LSep 24 · 09:00S. Sideltsev1.5711911113M. Zavoloka2.25111951
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