TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vihen Saakian vs Viktor Hyriavyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Vihen Saakian
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181210––––
Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 11
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:21 and never touched: 79.8% is still 79.8%
Graded at full timeVihen Saakian to win
79.8%
79.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVihen Saakian above · Viktor Hyriavyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 58 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Vihen Saakian at 79.8%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vihen Saakian 7–7 Viktor Hyriavyi Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:2179.8%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166
short by 6.0pp85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Saakian
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Saakian 1331 vs Hyriavyi 909
Saakian
Correct
both rated, 423 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Saakian 80% vs Hyriavyi 0%
Saakian
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Saakian 60% vs Hyriavyi 0%
Saakian
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Saakian +1 · Hyriavyi -11
Hyriavyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% · Strong (leans Saakian) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hyriavyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSaakian 1.166 / Hyriavyi 4.50
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Saakian)-6.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229022
Saakian1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 40 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Hyriavyi4.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 11
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 28 of 114
Down 0–1, comes back13% 11 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSaakian5wins
AwayHyriavyi5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSaakian66.7%4 of 6
AwayHyriavyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Saakian6Hyriavyi4n = 10Saakian took 6 of 10
S2Saakian4Hyriavyi6n = 10Hyriavyi took 6 of 10
S3Saakian7Hyriavyi3n = 10Saakian took 7 of 10
S4Saakian1Hyriavyi4n = 5Hyriavyi took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSaakianHyriavyiS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.933.1+2.8per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSaakianHyriavyiBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 257 vs 111 / 35252.5%31.5%135 / 257 vs 111 / 352Avg sets wonper match2.01.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.332.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SaakianSaakian 1.17/Hyriavyi 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Saakian · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Saakian won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 08:30V. Saakian341111123V. Hyriavyi2468100
WSep 25 · 10:30V. Saakian331111113V. Hyriavyi219480
WSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian45121111113V. Hyriavyi28144551
WApr 30 · 10:33V. Saakian331111113V. Hyriavyi185940
LApr 30 · 08:00V. Saakian35117891V. Hyriavyi4071111113
LApr 21 · 09:30V. Saakian2110290V. Hyriavyi341211113
WApr 21 · 06:00V. Saakian5411101111113V. Hyriavyi4141241382
LApr 1 · 09:30V. Saakian44115111072V. Hyriavyi47611712113
LMar 10 · 06:30V. Saakian2486100V. Hyriavyi341111123
LDec 1 · 09:30V. Saakian3651011101V. Hyriavyi4411129123
V. Saakian10
WOct 2 · 10:29Y. Urezchenko3.00137611102V. Saakian1.361111119123WOct 2 · 09:30V. Saakian1.7311117113M. Zavoloka2.00751191WOct 2 · 07:00V. Saakian1.4411913113O. Badanin2.633111181LOct 2 · 06:00V. Saakian1.1711914141Y. Urezchenko4.5041116163WSep 25 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi3.759480V. Saakian1.251111113WSep 25 · 09:30V. Saakian1.4011121112113S. Honcharenko2.7591471452WSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian1.36121111113V. Hyriavyi3.00144551WSep 25 · 07:00V. Saakian1.171112113V. Khyzhnyak4.5041040LSep 25 · 06:00V. Saakian1.444730V. Matviichuk2.631111113WApr 30 · 10:33V. Hyriavyi2.205940V. Saakian1.611111113
V. Hyriavyi10
LOct 2 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.75891191Y. Urezchenko1.4011119113LOct 2 · 06:30M. Zavoloka1.111111113V. Hyriavyi6.009870LOct 2 · 05:30V. Hyriavyi3.255730O. Badanin1.331111113LSep 28 · 09:00V. Hyriavyi2.63591141V. Matviichuk1.4411114113LSep 28 · 08:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113V. Hyriavyi2.206750LSep 28 · 07:00S. Honcharenko1.25611411113V. Hyriavyi3.7511711742LSep 28 · 05:30A. Lysyi1.2881111113V. Hyriavyi3.50118791LSep 25 · 10:30V. Hyriavyi3.759480V. Saakian1.251111113LSep 25 · 08:30V. Saakian1.36121111113V. Hyriavyi3.00144551LApr 30 · 10:33V. Hyriavyi2.205940V. Saakian1.611111113
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