TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Anton Danylov vs Yurii Urezchenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611116511810––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:26 and never touched: 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeYurii Urezchenko to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAnton Danylov above · Yurii Urezchenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-10
Point 68 set 4, 8-10 · our read held Yurii Urezchenko at 73.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Anton Danylov 0–4 Yurii Urezchenko Anton Danylov has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2673.1%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 4.7pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Urezchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Urezchenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Danylov 1132 vs Urezchenko 1152
Urezchenko
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Danylov 60% vs Urezchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Danylov 60% vs Urezchenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Danylov -1 · Urezchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% · Strong (leans Urezchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urezchenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanylov 3.50 / Urezchenko 1.285
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Urezchenko)-4.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276487
Danylov3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 31 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Urezchenko1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 47 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDanylov0wins
AwayUrezchenko4wins
Urezchenko leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanylovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayUrezchenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danylov1Urezchenko3n = 4Urezchenko took 3 of 4
S2Danylov1Urezchenko3n = 4Urezchenko took 3 of 4
S3Danylov0Urezchenko4n = 4Urezchenko took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricDanylovUrezchenkoD − UBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match22.236.5−14.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanylovUrezchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 153 vs 201 / 44934%44.8%52 / 153 vs 201 / 449Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match33.935.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
UrezchenkoDanylov 3.50/Urezchenko 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Urezchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urezchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 12 · 12:30A. Danylov336111061Y. Urezchenko4011612113
LMar 29 · 13:30A. Danylov154650Y. Urezchenko331111113
LMar 2 · 17:30A. Danylov188640Y. Urezchenko331111113
LJan 25 · 17:30A. Danylov23112461Y. Urezchenko4071111113
A. Danylov10
LOct 11 · 13:30R. Sveshnykov1.2593111153A. Danylov3.7511117422LOct 10 · 17:31A. Danylov4.335640Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113WOct 10 · 16:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.228780A. Danylov4.001111113LOct 10 · 15:00A. Danylov2.506840A. Lysyi1.501111113WOct 10 · 13:30A. Danylov4.3341171193I. Sorochan1.2011811572WOct 10 · 12:00A. Danylov2.63111173O. Levytskyi1.448760WOct 3 · 17:39A. Danylov1.57371111113V. Yarovyi2.2511119572LOct 3 · 16:00A. Danylov4.001164101V. Saakian1.2291111123WOct 3 · 15:00S. Zherykhin1.8011811652A. Danylov1.9191181193WOct 3 · 14:00V. Yarovyi2.63114841A. Danylov1.449111183
Y. Urezchenko10
WOct 7 · 10:13Y. Urezchenko2.5014711113V. Matviichuk1.501211791LOct 7 · 09:00V. Kurliuk1.1012911113Y. Urezchenko6.501011891WOct 7 · 07:30S. Honcharenko1.57179121052Y. Urezchenko2.2515111012113WOct 7 · 06:00V. Matviichuk1.401111261Y. Urezchenko2.7513511113LOct 7 · 05:00V. Khyzhnyak1.611111113Y. Urezchenko2.205590LOct 2 · 10:29Y. Urezchenko3.00137611102V. Saakian1.361111119123LOct 2 · 09:00O. Badanin1.7361115113Y. Urezchenko2.001161391WOct 2 · 07:30V. Hyriavyi2.75891191Y. Urezchenko1.4011119113WOct 2 · 06:00V. Saakian1.1711914141Y. Urezchenko4.5041116163WOct 2 · 05:00M. Zavoloka1.2211411572Y. Urezchenko4.00211511113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.