TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Stopin vs Kostiantyn Klymenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511114611114114
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched: 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 78 set 5, 11-4 · our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 66.3%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 1–2 Kostiantyn Klymenko Oleh Stopin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:0266.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 5.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1244 vs Klymenko 1321
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 100% vs Klymenko 0%
Stopin
Correct
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 90% vs Klymenko 30%
Stopin
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin +8 · Klymenko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Klymenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 2.75 / Klymenko 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Klymenko)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276523
Stopin2.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 07)
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog27% won 16 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Klymenko1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Oct 04) · back after a break
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite60% won 103 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it77% 70 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStopin1wins
AwayKlymenko2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderKlymenko leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stopin2Klymenko1n = 3Stopin took 2 of 3
S2Stopin0Klymenko3n = 3Klymenko took 3 of 3
S3Stopin0Klymenko3n = 3Klymenko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricStopinKlymenkoS − KBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.046.7−7.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 283 vs 422 / 82554.4%51.2%154 / 283 vs 422 / 825Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoStopin 2.75/Klymenko 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stopin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 26 · 11:10O. Stopin30117481K. Klymenko4291111113
WMar 1 · 09:30O. Stopin56174811163K. Klymenko571511116142
LJan 1 · 10:30O. Stopin3117860K. Klymenko411911113
O. Stopin10
LOct 11 · 13:10O. Stopin2.636580V. Kucheriavyi1.441111113WOct 7 · 18:30O. Stopin1.571111113O. Miklukha2.256980WOct 7 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko3.509980O. Stopin1.281111113WOct 7 · 15:30O. Stopin1.251211113O. Efimov3.7510470WOct 7 · 14:30D. Kunchurov4.33981171O. Stopin1.2011117113WOct 7 · 13:00O. Stopin1.2511911113V. Mykhalchenko3.75911931WOct 3 · 11:05V. Varchenko1.73621191O. Stopin2.0011117113WOct 3 · 10:05O. Stopin1.731211411113S. Osipov2.0014411442WOct 3 · 09:05O. Stopin2.3861113113P. Ostrovskyi1.531151161LOct 3 · 07:35O. Stopin2.005880V. Kucheriavyi1.731111113
K. Klymenko10
LOct 11 · 12:10V. Stukalov2.10111173K. Klymenko1.674740LOct 4 · 15:10K. Klymenko1.5311111171V. Kondratenko2.3813813113LOct 4 · 14:10K. Klymenko1.36911111172V. Varchenko3.0011471383LOct 4 · 12:40K. Klymenko1.5731040V. Stukalov2.251112113LOct 4 · 11:40K. Klymenko1.50771171M. Khalenko2.5011111113LSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042WSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113
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