TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Kostiantyn Klymenko vs Vasily Kondratenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131181113711––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched: 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 85 set 4, 7-11 · our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 61.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 27–15 Vasily Kondratenko Vasily Kondratenko has won 15 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:0961.6%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.6pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
27-15 in 42
Klymenko
Wrong
gap of 12 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1335 vs Kondratenko 1271
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 20% vs Kondratenko 100%
Kondratenko
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 40% vs Kondratenko 70%
Kondratenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -4 · Kondratenko +7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Slight lean (leans Klymenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kondratenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.533 / Kondratenko 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Klymenko)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13239936
Klymenko1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 110 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it77% 74 of 96
Kondratenko2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog25% won 22 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlymenko9wins
AwayKondratenko1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlymenko100%4 of 4
AwayKondratenko16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko4Kondratenko6n = 10Kondratenko took 6 of 10
S2Klymenko5Kondratenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Klymenko7Kondratenko3n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S4Klymenko9Kondratenko1n = 10Klymenko took 9 of 10
S5Klymenko4Kondratenko1n = 5Klymenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlymenkoKondratenkoKlymenko − KondratenkoBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.4+3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 824 vs 245 / 54651.2%44.9%422 / 824 vs 245 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.53/Kondratenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kondratenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko529101111113V. Kondratenko4211127482
WAug 27 · 08:30K. Klymenko4211119113V. Kondratenko37991181
LAug 13 · 11:20K. Klymenko4169111142V. Kondratenko49111188113
WAug 3 · 06:00K. Klymenko3811511113V. Kondratenko35911781
WJul 30 · 06:35K. Klymenko4211119113V. Kondratenko28671141
WJul 27 · 05:00K. Klymenko49711119113V. Kondratenko4311781162
WJul 26 · 16:10K. Klymenko41341112113V. Kondratenko48111171092
WJul 15 · 09:30K. Klymenko3961111113V. Kondratenko36119971
WJul 13 · 09:30K. Klymenko3611311113V. Kondratenko31611681
WJul 10 · 09:00K. Klymenko48911611113V. Kondratenko4511811872
K. Klymenko10
LOct 4 · 14:10K. Klymenko1.36911111172V. Varchenko3.0011471383LOct 4 · 12:40K. Klymenko1.5731040V. Stukalov2.251112113LOct 4 · 11:40K. Klymenko1.50771171M. Khalenko2.5011111113LSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042WSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182
V. Kondratenko10
WOct 4 · 16:15M. Khalenko1.5712115862V. Kondratenko2.251021111113WOct 4 · 13:40V. Kondratenko1.67931111113V. Stukalov2.1011117462WOct 4 · 12:10V. Kondratenko1.361111133V. Varchenko3.0079110WOct 4 · 10:40V. Kondratenko2.501491193M. Khalenko1.501211851WSep 30 · 12:05V. Kondratenko1.6111112113S. Semenets2.20851161WSep 30 · 10:05O. Miklukha3.25711681V. Kondratenko1.3311711113WSep 30 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.201171011V. Kondratenko1.6161112113WSep 30 · 07:05V. Kondratenko1.8311711113S. Hovorunets1.83411691LSep 30 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.2511711113V. Kondratenko1.57711651LSep 29 · 16:40V. Mukhin2.5010111110113V. Kondratenko1.5012881272
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