TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Kostiantyn Klymenko vs Volodymyr Varchenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911114117111378
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:08 and never touched: 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKostiantyn Klymenko above · Volodymyr Varchenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 7-8
Point 92 set 5, 7-8 · our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 71.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Klymenko 4–0 Volodymyr Varchenko Volodymyr Varchenko has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:0871.6%Our read73.4%to break even at 1.363
short by 1.8pp73.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.363 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Klymenko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klymenko 1351 vs Varchenko 1159
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 192 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klymenko 40% vs Varchenko 0%
Klymenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klymenko 50% vs Varchenko 30%
Klymenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Klymenko -3 · Varchenko -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Klymenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Varchenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlymenko 1.363 / Varchenko 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Klymenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13239952
Klymenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 110 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 49 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it77% 74 of 96
Varchenko3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 19 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back19% 5 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKlymenko4wins
AwayVarchenko0wins
Klymenko leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klymenko2Varchenko2n = 4split evenly
S2Klymenko4Varchenko0n = 4Klymenko took 4 of 4
S3Klymenko4Varchenko0n = 4Klymenko took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKlymenkoVarchenkoK − VBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.027.2+9.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlymenkoVarchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 823 vs 108 / 23751.3%45.6%422 / 823 vs 108 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoKlymenko 1.36/Varchenko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WDec 2 · 16:10K. Klymenko4161111133V. Varchenko341157111
WNov 8 · 10:35K. Klymenko4161113113V. Varchenko351181151
WAug 6 · 20:50K. Klymenko331111113V. Varchenko237970
WJul 30 · 17:50K. Klymenko331111113V. Varchenko173680
K. Klymenko10
LOct 4 · 15:10K. Klymenko1.5311111171V. Kondratenko2.3813813113LOct 4 · 12:40K. Klymenko1.5731040V. Stukalov2.251112113LOct 4 · 11:40K. Klymenko1.50771171M. Khalenko2.5011111113LSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042WSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182
V. Varchenko10
LOct 4 · 13:10V. Varchenko3.259450M. Khalenko1.331111113LOct 4 · 12:10V. Kondratenko1.361111133V. Varchenko3.0079110LOct 4 · 11:10V. Varchenko1.73117111092V. Stukalov2.00611912113LOct 3 · 11:05V. Varchenko1.73621191O. Stopin2.0011117113LOct 3 · 09:35V. Varchenko1.8091111992V. Kucheriavyi1.91119611113LOct 3 · 08:05V. Varchenko1.448770S. Osipov2.631111113WOct 3 · 06:35V. Varchenko1.221112133V. Mykhalchenko4.00910110WOct 3 · 05:05V. Varchenko1.671111123P. Ostrovskyi2.1093100LSep 27 · 16:40V. Varchenko1.671111131062V. Kucheriavyi2.10871512113WSep 27 · 15:10V. Varchenko1.83471111143O. Miklukha1.83111167122
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