TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Varchenko vs Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11912101311––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:18 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Varchenko to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 66 set 3, 13-11 · our read held Volodymyr Varchenko at 79.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 5–0 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Volodymyr Mykhalchenko has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:1879.4%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 2.4pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Varchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Varchenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1227 vs Mykhalchenko 1043
Varchenko
Correct
both rated, 184 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 80% vs Mykhalchenko 20%
Varchenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 70% vs Mykhalchenko 40%
Varchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko +1 · Mykhalchenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Varchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 1.222 / Mykhalchenko 4.00
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Varchenko)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234367
Varchenko1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 21 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it63% 19 of 30
Mykhalchenko4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 15 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVarchenko5wins
AwayMykhalchenko0wins
Varchenko leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko100%5 of 5
AwayMykhalchenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko5Mykhalchenko0n = 5Varchenko took 5 of 5
S2Varchenko3Mykhalchenko2n = 5Varchenko took 3 of 5
S3Varchenko5Mykhalchenko0n = 5Varchenko took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home360%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVarchenkoMykhalchenkoV − MBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set50+5of 5Avg pointsper match36.825.8+11.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 231 vs 121 / 21646.8%56%108 / 231 vs 121 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VarchenkoVarchenko 1.22/Mykhalchenko 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Varchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WOct 3 · 06:35V. Varchenko361112133V. Mykhalchenko30910110
WSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko4111613113V. Mykhalchenko318111111
WSep 19 · 06:20V. Varchenko361411113V. Mykhalchenko1912520
WAug 9 · 10:05V. Varchenko331111113V. Mykhalchenko198830
WOct 4 · 12:05V. Varchenko3811511113V. Mykhalchenko30911731
V. Varchenko10
WOct 3 · 05:05V. Varchenko1.671111123P. Ostrovskyi2.1093100LSep 27 · 16:40V. Varchenko1.671111131062V. Kucheriavyi2.10871512113WSep 27 · 15:10V. Varchenko1.83471111143O. Miklukha1.83111167122WSep 27 · 13:40V. Varchenko1.5311911113S. Osipov2.38311841WSep 27 · 12:10V. Varchenko2.0011115113P. Ostrovskyi1.73781181LSep 27 · 10:40V. Varchenko2.635560V. Kondratenko1.441111113WSep 22 · 17:10V. Varchenko2.101111113D. Khavanskyi1.677350WSep 22 · 15:10S. Semenets1.508880V. Varchenko2.501111113WSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.101112113V. Varchenko1.6761090
V. Mykhalchenko10
LOct 3 · 05:35O. Stopin1.331211113V. Mykhalchenko3.2510950LOct 2 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.30107110D. Kunchurov3.401211133WOct 2 · 17:00K. Vernudin3.401187101V. Mykhalchenko1.3061111123LOct 2 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.801111113V. Mykhalchenko1.917840LOct 2 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.10113811102O. Efimov6.50711118123WOct 2 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko8.507770V. Mykhalchenko1.051111113WSep 25 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754730LSep 25 · 17:00K. Vernudin4.5011119133V. Mykhalchenko1.177511111LSep 25 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.83751111113V. Mykhalchenko1.8311116892WSep 25 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251191111153D. Kunchurov3.75131168132
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