TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Stukalov vs Kostiantyn Klymenko 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 11Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11411774––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched: 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-4
Point 44 set 3, 7-4 · our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 57.0%
44 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 20–17 Kostiantyn Klymenko Kostiantyn Klymenko has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:0857.0%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.0pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Klymenko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Stukalov
Correct
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1172 vs Klymenko 1308
Klymenko
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 80% vs Klymenko 0%
Stukalov
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 50% vs Klymenko 30%
Stukalov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +2 · Klymenko -6
Klymenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Klymenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 2.10 / Klymenko 1.666
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Klymenko)-3.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13276624
Stukalov2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 113 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back18% 29 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 98
Klymenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 103 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it94% 48 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it77% 70 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStukalov3wins
AwayKlymenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStukalov60%3 of 5
AwayKlymenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stukalov5Klymenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Stukalov4Klymenko6n = 10Klymenko took 6 of 10
S3Stukalov3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S4Stukalov1Klymenko4n = 5Klymenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStukalovKlymenkoS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.435.6−1.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 860 vs 411 / 80649.4%51%425 / 860 vs 411 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoStukalov 2.10/Klymenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 12:40V. Stukalov341112113K. Klymenko1731040
LSep 18 · 07:35V. Stukalov321271031K. Klymenko44101112113
LAug 30 · 14:40V. Stukalov2771280K. Klymenko361114113
WAug 28 · 11:05V. Stukalov341211113K. Klymenko2010370
LAug 13 · 05:50V. Stukalov541110131192K. Klymenko50612156113
LAug 1 · 10:30V. Stukalov36911971K. Klymenko3911611113
LJul 30 · 09:35V. Stukalov2581070K. Klymenko341112113
WJul 27 · 07:00V. Stukalov49111197113K. Klymenko4059111142
LJul 26 · 12:10V. Stukalov195950K. Klymenko331111113
LJul 20 · 08:00V. Stukalov343911111K. Klymenko4311118133
V. Stukalov10
WOct 11 · 13:40V. Stukalov1.911311113S. Semenets1.8011090WOct 11 · 10:40V. Stukalov1.8311511113V. Varchenko1.83711981WOct 10 · 11:00V. Stukalov1.36611811113S. Osipov3.0011811742LOct 10 · 09:00V. Mukhin1.14611116113V. Stukalov5.0011841152WOct 10 · 08:00V. Stukalov2.00119118113V. Varchenko1.7351161172WOct 10 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.405990V. Stukalov2.751111113LOct 10 · 05:30V. Stukalov2.25811781V. Kondratenko1.5711611113LOct 8 · 11:05O. Miklukha2.63111111113V. Stukalov1.44136691WOct 8 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.2811119113M. Mykhailenko3.50681131LOct 8 · 09:05V. Stukalov1.361151112122D. Kunchurov3.00511414143
K. Klymenko10
LOct 11 · 11:10O. Stopin2.75511611113K. Klymenko1.4011411442LOct 4 · 15:10K. Klymenko1.5311111171V. Kondratenko2.3813813113LOct 4 · 14:10K. Klymenko1.36911111172V. Varchenko3.0011471383LOct 4 · 12:40K. Klymenko1.5731040V. Stukalov2.251112113LOct 4 · 11:40K. Klymenko1.50771171M. Khalenko2.5011111113LSep 19 · 11:00K. Klymenko2.7571220O. Ovsiienko1.401114113WSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042WSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.