TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Serdiuk vs Vitalii Klymenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11311410125111719
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:29 and never touched: 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeIhor Serdiuk to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Serdiuk above · Vitalii Klymenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 17-19
Point 103 set 5, 17-19 · our read held Ihor Serdiuk at 85.6%
103 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Serdiuk 14–2 Vitalii Klymenko Vitalii Klymenko has won 2 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:2985.6%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166
short by 0.2pp85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Serdiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-2 in 16
Serdiuk
Wrong
gap of 12 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serdiuk 1265 vs Klymenko 1013
Serdiuk
Wrong
both rated, 253 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serdiuk 40% vs Klymenko 20%
Serdiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serdiuk 40% vs Klymenko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Serdiuk +1 · Klymenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% · Strong (leans Serdiuk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Serdiuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerdiuk 1.166 / Klymenko 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Serdiuk)-0.2pp
Setka Cup · #13270379
Serdiuk1.17
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 28 days ago (Sep 12) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 70 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it86% 48 of 56
Klymenko4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 07)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back20% 13 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSerdiuk10wins
AwayKlymenko0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSerdiuk leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSerdiuk100%7 of 7
AwayKlymenko0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serdiuk7Klymenko3n = 10Serdiuk took 7 of 10
S2Serdiuk6Klymenko4n = 10Serdiuk took 6 of 10
S3Serdiuk8Klymenko2n = 10Serdiuk took 8 of 10
S4Serdiuk5Klymenko3n = 8Serdiuk took 5 of 8
S5Serdiuk4Klymenko0n = 4Serdiuk took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSerdiukKlymenkoS − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.636.0+8.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerdiukKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 350 vs 106 / 26566%40%231 / 350 vs 106 / 265Avg sets wonper match2.31.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.035.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SerdiukSerdiuk 1.17/Klymenko 4.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.6%
Serdiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 09:00I. Serdiuk56148118153V. Klymenko541211711132
WJul 25 · 11:00I. Serdiuk531181112113V. Klymenko47131141092
WApr 18 · 09:00I. Serdiuk331111113V. Klymenko228860
WDec 27 · 07:30I. Serdiuk47119115113V. Klymenko4791191172
WNov 29 · 10:00I. Serdiuk511181110113V. Klymenko4241161292
WNov 15 · 12:00I. Serdiuk5011199113V. Klymenko378171111
WNov 1 · 09:00I. Serdiuk3851111113V. Klymenko27115561
WOct 11 · 06:30I. Serdiuk341111123V. Klymenko1954100
WSep 6 · 06:00I. Serdiuk4291111113V. Klymenko32118581
WAug 23 · 08:30I. Serdiuk4211118123V. Klymenko334811101
I. Serdiuk10
WSep 12 · 11:30I. Serdiuk1.251111113R. Boklah3.759950LSep 12 · 09:30S. Priadko2.50881112113I. Serdiuk1.50111171092LSep 12 · 07:30A. Fastov3.0031214113I. Serdiuk1.3611101271WSep 12 · 06:30I. Serdiuk1.911212113I. Torhachov1.80101070LSep 12 · 05:30O. Kolos2.63111186113I. Serdiuk1.4488111142WSep 6 · 17:00I. Torhachov2.2590I. Serdiuk1.57111WSep 6 · 16:30I. Serdiuk2.7511116113V. Ziakun1.40631141LSep 6 · 15:30I. Serdiuk1.91671121I. Torhachov1.801111733WSep 6 · 14:00I. Serdiuk1.5711713113S. Priadko2.255111151LSep 6 · 13:00I. Serdiuk1.2081231182R. Boklah4.331110113113
V. Klymenko10
WOct 10 · 06:30V. Klymenko3.401118113O. Kolos1.3081680LOct 7 · 15:30D. Aldayev2.00113911113V. Klymenko1.7381111782WOct 7 · 14:30V. Klymenko2.20138811113R. Boklah1.61111111872LOct 7 · 13:30V. Ivnytskyi2.3811121011113V. Klymenko1.5391412892LOct 7 · 12:30V. Klymenko3.5091111792O. Kolos1.28117811113LOct 5 · 17:18D. Aldayev2.50111110113V. Klymenko1.50971271WOct 5 · 15:30Y. Priadko1.73117871V. Klymenko2.0041111113LOct 5 · 14:30V. Klymenko3.0055110O. Kolos1.361111133LOct 5 · 13:30R. Boklah1.6711811113V. Klymenko2.10511681WOct 5 · 12:30V. Klymenko1.731311113D. Aldayev2.0011770
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.