TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Arsenii Lobanov vs Andrey Troyan · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 08:05Scheduled
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
10 – 6
All 16 meetings · 62.5%
Last 10 · 7–3Same side
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Price verdict
Value · MediumAndrey Troyan at 2.375
The underdog is priced longer than what we measure says.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 7 of 15
3 of 15 playedGroup 4 of 9 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivan Efimenko | 1–0 | 3–0 | 4 |
| = | Andrey TroyanThis match | 1–0 | 3–0 | 4 |
| = | Arsenii LobanovThis match | 1–0 | 3–0 | 4 |
| = | Oleksandr Tymofeev | 0–1 | 0–3 | 4 |
| = | Yaroslav Kovshun | 0–1 | 0–3 | 4 |
| 6 | Volodymyr Bilobrov | 0–1 | 0–3 | 4 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLobanov 1.533 / Troyan 2.375
Setka Cup · #13270297
Lobanov1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 19 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 13 of 18
Troyan2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 58 of 182
Down 0–1, comes back14% 14 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLobanov7wins
AwayTroyan3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLobanov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLobanov83.3%5 of 6
AwayTroyan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lobanov6Troyan4n = 10Lobanov took 6 of 10
S2Lobanov8Troyan2n = 10Lobanov took 8 of 10
S3Lobanov4Troyan6n = 10Troyan took 6 of 10
S4Lobanov5Troyan2n = 7Lobanov took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLobanovTroyanL − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.236.9+0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLobanovTroyanBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 126 vs 479 / 98151.6%48.8%65 / 126 vs 479 / 981Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 09:30A. Lobanov43127211113A. Troyan44101111932
WAug 8 · 05:05A. Lobanov4211119113A. Troyan36971191
LJul 31 · 10:49A. Lobanov27713161A. Troyan44111111113
WJul 31 · 08:05A. Lobanov361113123A. Troyan28711100
WJul 27 · 09:05A. Lobanov4561216113A. Troyan4411101491
WJul 24 · 05:35A. Lobanov3621211113A. Troyan341110761
LApr 11 · 11:35A. Lobanov3511112472A. Troyan45751111113
WFeb 22 · 12:35A. Lobanov331111113A. Troyan206770
WJan 3 · 07:35A. Lobanov48161110113A. Troyan401481261
LDec 30 · 09:05A. Lobanov2798100A. Troyan341111123
A. Lobanov10
WOct 10 · 05:05A. Lobanov1.731111113Y. Kovshun2.009890LOct 3 · 10:30A. Lobanov1.9112430I. Efimenko1.801411113LOct 3 · 09:00A. Lobanov1.5312116882V. Bilobrov2.381031111113LOct 3 · 07:30A. Lobanov2.0061050O. Tymofeev1.731112113LOct 3 · 06:00A. Lobanov1.80101880V. Kryvenko1.911220113LOct 3 · 04:30A. Lobanov1.6171111962Y. Kovshun2.20113811113LAug 23 · 11:30A. Droshchynskyi1.83117411113A. Lobanov1.8371111722LAug 23 · 10:00A. Lobanov1.91115111152Y. Holoborodko1.80411313113WAug 23 · 08:00Y. Kovshun2.2071351132A. Lobanov1.611111112113WAug 23 · 06:00O. Varlamov2.507590A. Lobanov1.501111113
A. Troyan10
WOct 10 · 06:05O. Tymofeev2.2511980A. Troyan1.571311113WOct 9 · 11:35V. Kolesnykov3.505490A. Troyan1.281111113LOct 9 · 10:35O. Karpenko2.63131144113A. Troyan1.44113111172LOct 9 · 09:05Y. Volkov1.73111115113A. Troyan2.001361311LOct 9 · 07:05Y. Kovshun1.53111199153A. Troyan2.38371111132LOct 9 · 05:05Y. Holoborodko1.5711115113A. Troyan2.25681141WOct 6 · 12:05S. Kyienko2.20811111172A. Troyan1.61111398113WOct 6 · 10:35A. Troyan2.381111113Y. Kovshun1.538970WOct 6 · 08:35V. Bilobrov3.407121091A. Troyan1.30111012113WOct 6 · 06:35Y. Volkov1.7331251242A. Troyan2.0011101110113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
Nobody has written yet. Sign in to be the first.
Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.