TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Sergey Osipov vs Oleh Efimov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121471111713111311
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched: 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeSergey Osipov to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSergey Osipov above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 110 set 5, 13-11 · our read held Sergey Osipov at 79.4%
110 points played in total.
H2H Sergey Osipov 2–0 Oleh Efimov Oleh Efimov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2779.4%Our read85.8%to break even at 1.166
short by 6.4pp85.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.166 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Osipov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Osipov 1197 vs Efimov 884
Osipov
Correct
both rated, 312 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osipov 60% vs Efimov 80%
Efimov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osipov 50% vs Efimov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osipov +2 · Efimov +4
Efimov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% · Strong (leans Osipov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsipov 1.166 / Efimov 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Osipov)-6.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13265988
Osipov1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite73% won 32 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it87% 27 of 31
Efimov4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 8 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOsipov2wins
AwayEfimov0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderOsipov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOsipovEfimovO − EBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match49.038.5+10.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsipovEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 268 vs 17 / 6948.1%24.6%129 / 268 vs 17 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.133.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OsipovOsipov 1.17/Efimov 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Osipov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Osipov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 9 · 06:30S. Osipov561271113133O. Efimov541411711112
WAug 28 · 18:00S. Osipov4211911113O. Efimov23311361
S. Osipov10
WOct 9 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko7.00781151S. Osipov1.0811117113WOct 3 · 12:05S. Osipov1.251111113V. Mykhalchenko3.758450LOct 3 · 10:05O. Stopin1.731211411113S. Osipov2.0014411442WOct 3 · 08:05V. Varchenko1.448770S. Osipov2.631111113LOct 3 · 07:05S. Osipov1.73111271172P. Ostrovskyi2.00914116113LOct 3 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi1.36581111113S. Osipov3.0011119682WSep 27 · 17:40S. Osipov2.001211113P. Ostrovskyi1.7310570LSep 27 · 15:40V. Kucheriavyi1.91111173S. Osipov1.809660LSep 27 · 13:40V. Varchenko1.5311911113S. Osipov2.38311841WSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110
O. Efimov10
WOct 9 · 04:30P. Ostrovskyi1.1751380O. Efimov4.501115113WOct 8 · 12:05M. Mykhailenko2.2033100O. Efimov1.611111123WOct 8 · 10:35O. Efimov3.75671111113D. Kunchurov1.2511115992WOct 8 · 08:35O. Ponomarenko1.138870O. Efimov5.501111113LOct 8 · 06:35O. Miklukha1.1771111113O. Efimov4.50119581LOct 8 · 05:35V. Stukalov1.22711912113O. Efimov4.00116111092LOct 7 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113O. Efimov4.003660LOct 7 · 17:30O. Efimov4.5013271172O. Miklukha1.171111118113LOct 7 · 15:30O. Stopin1.251211113O. Efimov3.7510470LOct 7 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754960
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