TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Mykhailenko vs Oleh Efimov 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3113111012––––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeOleh Efimov to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Oleh Efimov @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 50 set 3, 10-12 · our read held Oleh Efimov at 54.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 1–3 Oleh Efimov Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 11:0254.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Efimov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Efimov
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 846 vs Efimov 845
Mykhailenko
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 20% vs Efimov 40%
Efimov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 30% vs Efimov 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko -2 · Efimov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Efimov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimov form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 2.20 / Efimov 1.615
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Efimov)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261534
Mykhailenko2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 24 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Efimov1.61
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMykhailenko1wins
AwayEfimov3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderEfimov leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayEfimov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko0Efimov4n = 4Efimov took 4 of 4
S2Mykhailenko1Efimov3n = 4Efimov took 3 of 4
S3Mykhailenko3Efimov1n = 4Mykhailenko took 3 of 4
S4Mykhailenko0Efimov3n = 3Efimov took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoEfimovM − EBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match35.543.0−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 112 vs 15 / 6626.8%22.7%30 / 112 vs 15 / 66Avg sets wonper match1.31.4per matchAvg pointsper match32.432.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
EfimovMykhailenko 2.20/Efimov 1.61
Hit
What we said
54.9%
Efimov · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Oleh Efimov @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
0–3
Efimov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LOct 2 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko3912101251O. Efimov47141210113
WSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko51911116143O. Efimov51119811122
LAug 28 · 16:30M. Mykhailenko228860O. Efimov331111113
LApr 16 · 06:05M. Mykhailenko30741181O. Efimov4111118113
M. Mykhailenko10
LOct 8 · 10:05V. Stukalov1.2811119113M. Mykhailenko3.50681131LOct 8 · 08:05O. Miklukha1.14311411113M. Mykhailenko5.0011211642WOct 8 · 07:05M. Mykhailenko2.3861113113D. Kunchurov1.531171191LOct 8 · 06:05O. Ponomarenko1.301111113M. Mykhailenko3.407450LOct 2 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.1012101251O. Efimov1.67141210113LOct 2 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3312411113M. Mykhailenko3.251011881WOct 2 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.101371111113D. Kunchurov1.6515115682LOct 2 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.53712116113M. Mykhailenko2.38111071152LOct 2 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko8.507770V. Mykhalchenko1.051111113WSep 26 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko3.7581111113K. Vernudin1.25117981
O. Efimov10
WOct 8 · 10:35O. Efimov3.75671111113D. Kunchurov1.2511115992WOct 8 · 08:35O. Ponomarenko1.138870O. Efimov5.501111113LOct 8 · 06:35O. Miklukha1.1771111113O. Efimov4.50119581LOct 8 · 05:35V. Stukalov1.22711912113O. Efimov4.00116111092LOct 7 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113O. Efimov4.003660LOct 7 · 17:30O. Efimov4.5013271172O. Miklukha1.171111118113LOct 7 · 15:30O. Stopin1.251211113O. Efimov3.7510470LOct 7 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754960LOct 7 · 12:30D. Kunchurov1.25101111133O. Efimov3.751297111WOct 2 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.1012101251O. Efimov1.67141210113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.