TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleh Miklukha vs Mykhailo Mykhailenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
311112411116114
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:04 and never touched: 82.2% is still 82.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Miklukha to win
82.2%
82.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Miklukha above · Mykhailo Mykhailenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 74 set 5, 11-4 · our read held Oleh Miklukha at 82.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Miklukha 2–0 Mykhailo Mykhailenko Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:0482.2%Our read87.6%to break even at 1.142
short by 5.4pp87.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.142 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Miklukha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Miklukha 1037 vs Mykhailenko 857
Miklukha
Correct
both rated, 181 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miklukha 60% vs Mykhailenko 40%
Miklukha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miklukha 30% vs Mykhailenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Miklukha +1 · Mykhailenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% · Strong (leans Miklukha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhailenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (20%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiklukha 1.142 / Mykhailenko 5.00
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Miklukha)-5.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261664
Miklukha1.14
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 40 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it95% 20 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it74% 25 of 34
Mykhailenko5.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 24 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMiklukha2wins
AwayMykhailenko0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderMiklukha leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMiklukhaMykhailenkoMiklukha − MykhailenkoBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.533.0+8.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiklukhaMykhailenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 464 vs 30 / 11045.3%27.3%210 / 464 vs 30 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.232.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MiklukhaMiklukha 1.14/Mykhailenko 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Miklukha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Miklukha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 4 · 16:40O. Miklukha49117119113M. Mykhailenko4581171182
WApr 16 · 09:35O. Miklukha341111123M. Mykhailenko2174100
O. Miklukha10
WOct 8 · 06:35O. Miklukha1.1771111113O. Efimov4.50119581LOct 8 · 05:05O. Miklukha1.251181111102D. Kunchurov3.75611613123LOct 7 · 18:30O. Stopin1.571111113O. Miklukha2.256980WOct 7 · 17:30O. Efimov4.5013271172O. Miklukha1.171111118113WOct 7 · 16:00D. Kunchurov2.75571281O. Miklukha1.40111110113LOct 7 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.53113115113O. Miklukha2.3871171172LOct 7 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.9114711113O. Miklukha1.801211881LSep 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.38611511113O. Miklukha1.5311511862LSep 30 · 10:05O. Miklukha3.25711681V. Kondratenko1.3311711113LSep 30 · 09:05O. Miklukha3.25641171S. Hovorunets1.3311116113
M. Mykhailenko10
WOct 8 · 07:05M. Mykhailenko2.3861113113D. Kunchurov1.531171191LOct 8 · 06:05O. Ponomarenko1.301111113M. Mykhailenko3.407450LOct 2 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.1012101251O. Efimov1.67141210113LOct 2 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3312411113M. Mykhailenko3.251011881WOct 2 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.101371111113D. Kunchurov1.6515115682LOct 2 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.53712116113M. Mykhailenko2.38111071152LOct 2 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko8.507770V. Mykhalchenko1.051111113WSep 26 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko3.7581111113K. Vernudin1.25117981LSep 26 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.301191111163M. Mykhailenko3.40911135142LSep 26 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7511811862K. Tsoi1.25911511113
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