TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko vs Oleh Miklukha 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 7Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117311117511117
Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:59 and never touched: 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Oleh Miklukha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 84 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 62.4%
84 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 9–2 Oleh Miklukha Oleh Miklukha has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:5962.4%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 2.8pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1058 vs Miklukha 1048
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 40% vs Miklukha 0%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 30% vs Miklukha 0%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko -2 · Miklukha -10
Miklukha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Mykhalchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miklukha form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.533 / Miklukha 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13255735
Mykhalchenko1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 51 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Miklukha2.38
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 10
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 36 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhalchenko8wins
AwayMiklukha2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMykhalchenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhalchenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMiklukha25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhalchenko6Miklukha4n = 10Mykhalchenko took 6 of 10
S2Mykhalchenko6Miklukha4n = 10Mykhalchenko took 6 of 10
S3Mykhalchenko8Miklukha2n = 10Mykhalchenko took 8 of 10
S4Mykhalchenko4Miklukha2n = 6Mykhalchenko took 4 of 6
S5Mykhalchenko2Miklukha1n = 3Mykhalchenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhalchenkoMiklukhaMykhalchenko − MiklukhaBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.332.0+7.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoMiklukhaBasisWin rate · lifetime119 / 210 vs 207 / 45856.7%45.2%119 / 210 vs 207 / 458Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.53/Miklukha 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.4%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 13:00V. Mykhalchenko3911511123O. Miklukha358116101
LJul 8 · 17:00V. Mykhalchenko218580O. Miklukha331111113
WJun 24 · 13:10V. Mykhalchenko4391111123O. Miklukha311173101
LOct 9 · 08:35V. Mykhalchenko4911911992O. Miklukha40611111113
WOct 1 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko351111133O. Miklukha2467110
WSep 27 · 11:30V. Mykhalchenko47116712113O. Miklukha36211111022
WSep 24 · 05:30V. Mykhalchenko45121111113O. Miklukha36146791
WSep 10 · 07:30V. Mykhalchenko331111113O. Miklukha164750
WAug 2 · 10:00V. Mykhalchenko331111113O. Miklukha227870
WJul 24 · 12:40V. Mykhalchenko48711118113O. Miklukha4711971192
V. Mykhalchenko10
LOct 7 · 13:00O. Stopin1.2511911113V. Mykhalchenko3.75911931LOct 3 · 12:05S. Osipov1.251111113V. Mykhalchenko3.758450WOct 3 · 10:35V. Mykhalchenko2.75111153113P. Ostrovskyi1.4027111192WOct 3 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.67891171V. Mykhalchenko2.1011116113LOct 3 · 06:35V. Varchenko1.221112133V. Mykhalchenko4.00910110LOct 3 · 05:35O. Stopin1.331211113V. Mykhalchenko3.2510950LOct 2 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.30107110D. Kunchurov3.401211133WOct 2 · 17:00K. Vernudin3.401187101V. Mykhalchenko1.3061111123LOct 2 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.801111113V. Mykhalchenko1.917840LOct 2 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.10113811102O. Efimov6.50711118123
O. Miklukha10
LOct 7 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.9114711113O. Miklukha1.801211881LSep 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.38611511113O. Miklukha1.5311511862LSep 30 · 10:05O. Miklukha3.25711681V. Kondratenko1.3311711113LSep 30 · 09:05O. Miklukha3.25641171S. Hovorunets1.3311116113LSep 30 · 07:35O. Miklukha2.254540V. Stukalov1.571111113LSep 30 · 05:35O. Miklukha2.386980S. Semenets1.531111113LSep 29 · 17:10V. Stukalov1.501161311113O. Miklukha2.50711111372LSep 29 · 16:10S. Semenets1.53101112133O. Miklukha2.3812910111LSep 29 · 14:40V. Kondratenko1.30111343113O. Miklukha3.40811111172LSep 29 · 12:40S. Hovorunets1.33411119123O. Miklukha3.25118711102
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