TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vladyslav Stukalov vs Oleh Efimov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111169111210119
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:30 and never touched: 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeVladyslav Stukalov to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVladyslav Stukalov above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Vladyslav Stukalov at 76.6%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vladyslav Stukalov 2–0 Oleh Efimov Oleh Efimov has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:3076.6%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 5.2pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Stukalov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stukalov 1162 vs Efimov 805
Stukalov
Correct
both rated, 356 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stukalov 40% vs Efimov 0%
Stukalov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stukalov 20% vs Efimov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stukalov +1 · Efimov -6
Efimov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Stukalov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimov form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStukalov 1.222 / Efimov 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Stukalov)-5.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13260985
Stukalov1.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 76 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it77% 53 of 69
Efimov4.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog18% won 6 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back15% 3 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStukalov2wins
AwayEfimov0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderStukalov leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStukalovEfimovS − EBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match46.038.5+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStukalovEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime423 / 858 vs 13 / 6249.3%21%423 / 858 vs 13 / 62Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.332.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
StukalovStukalov 1.22/Efimov 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Stukalov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stukalov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WFeb 6 · 08:00V. Stukalov46111446113O. Efimov48712111172
WJan 16 · 06:05V. Stukalov46131111113O. Efimov29157521
V. Stukalov10
WOct 7 · 11:35V. Stukalov2.7581111163S. Hovorunets1.401149141LOct 7 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.1411114113V. Stukalov5.00771151LOct 7 · 08:35V. Stukalov1.911148101S. Semenets1.8081111123WOct 7 · 07:35V. Kondratenko1.6111711572V. Stukalov2.20811711113LOct 7 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.4073121382O. Mytsyk1.3011111011113LOct 6 · 16:40V. Mukhin1.171111113V. Stukalov4.503840LOct 6 · 15:40V. Stukalov2.75113111482S. Hovorunets1.40211916113LOct 6 · 14:40V. Stukalov2.2511101121S. Skhabitskiy1.5791213113LOct 6 · 13:10V. Stukalov2.2541220P. Ostrovskyi1.571114113LOct 6 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.91111110792S. Semenets1.80941211113
O. Efimov10
LOct 8 · 06:35O. Miklukha1.1771111113O. Efimov4.50119581LOct 7 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113O. Efimov4.003660LOct 7 · 17:30O. Efimov4.5013271172O. Miklukha1.171111118113LOct 7 · 15:30O. Stopin1.251211113O. Efimov3.7510470LOct 7 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754960LOct 7 · 12:30D. Kunchurov1.25101111133O. Efimov3.751297111LOct 4 · 12:05D. Kunchurov1.2561111113O. Efimov3.75111951WOct 4 · 10:35O. Efimov3.751111113K. Vernudin1.254780LOct 4 · 08:35K. Tsoi1.737101111113O. Efimov2.0011121472LOct 4 · 05:35O. Ponomarenko1.22711126113O. Efimov4.00118101192
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