TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Kostiantyn Tsoi vs Oleh Efimov 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 4Finished
Kostiantyn Tsoi
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111012111114117
Oleh Efimov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:31 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Tsoi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingKostiantyn Tsoi above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 85 set 5, 11-7 · our read held Kostiantyn Tsoi at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Kostiantyn Tsoi 1–0 Oleh Efimov Oleh Efimov has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:3154.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Tsoi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Tsoi 920 vs Efimov 821
Tsoi
Correct
both rated, 99 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tsoi 60% vs Efimov 40%
Tsoi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tsoi 40% vs Efimov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tsoi -1 · Efimov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Tsoi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTsoi 1.727 / Efimov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tsoi)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13240226
Tsoi1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Efimov2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 5 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTsoi1wins
AwayEfimov0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTsoi leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTsoiEfimovT − EBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.035.0+15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTsoiEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 91 vs 12 / 5533%21.8%30 / 91 vs 12 / 55Avg sets wonper match1.41.4per matchAvg pointsper match32.632.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
TsoiTsoi 1.73/Efimov 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tsoi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tsoi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 4 · 08:35K. Tsoi507101111113O. Efimov3511121472
K. Tsoi10
WOct 4 · 09:34O. Riabuha2.384710K. Tsoi1.531111113LOct 4 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.3611118113K. Tsoi3.00471151WOct 4 · 06:05K. Tsoi2.25791211113D. Kunchurov1.57111110852LSep 26 · 11:30D. Kunchurov1.5711711113K. Tsoi2.25711661WSep 26 · 10:00K. Tsoi1.83131111113K. Vernudin1.83154551WSep 26 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7511811862K. Tsoi1.25911511113LSep 26 · 06:00O. Ponomarenko1.401111113K. Tsoi2.759560LSep 26 · 05:00O. Stopin1.221411113K. Tsoi4.0012820LSep 6 · 12:05K. Tsoi3.501110871M. Tkalich1.2861211113WSep 6 · 10:05M. Zaiats1.80411841K. Tsoi1.9111411113
O. Efimov10
LOct 4 · 05:35O. Ponomarenko1.22711126113O. Efimov4.00118101192WOct 2 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko2.1012101251O. Efimov1.67141210113LOct 2 · 17:30D. Kunchurov1.221111113O. Efimov4.006870LOct 2 · 16:00K. Vernudin1.2811118113O. Efimov3.50681171WOct 2 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.10113811102O. Efimov6.50711118123LOct 2 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.301112113O. Efimov3.4071090LSep 25 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754730LSep 25 · 17:30O. Efimov3.40121020D. Kunchurov1.301412103LSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.63911116143O. Efimov1.44119811122WSep 25 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.1799120O. Efimov4.501111143
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