TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Kunchurov vs Oleh Efimov 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118117––––
Oleh Efimov
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:20 and never touched: 78.2% is still 78.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
78.2%
78.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 · our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 78.2%
54 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 6–1 Oleh Efimov Oleh Efimov has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2078.2%Our read81.8%to break even at 1.222
short by 3.6pp81.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.222 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Kunchurov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Kunchurov
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 921 vs Efimov 833
Kunchurov
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 20% vs Efimov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 40% vs Efimov 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov -3 · Efimov -1
Kunchurov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% · Strong (leans Kunchurov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (20%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.222 / Efimov 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kunchurov)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229481
Kunchurov1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 34 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it91% 21 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Efimov4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog19% won 4 of 21
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKunchurov6wins
AwayEfimov1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKunchurov leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKunchurov100%4 of 4
AwayEfimov33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov4Efimov3n = 7Kunchurov took 4 of 7
S2Kunchurov7Efimov0n = 7Kunchurov took 7 of 7
S3Kunchurov4Efimov2n = 6Kunchurov took 4 of 6
S4Kunchurov2Efimov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home343%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKunchurovEfimovK − EBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match39.532.3+7.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 224 vs 11 / 5138.8%21.6%87 / 224 vs 11 / 51Avg sets wonper match1.71.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.832.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovKunchurov 1.22/Efimov 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.2%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 28 · 12:00D. Kunchurov331111113O. Efimov237970
WJun 2 · 06:30D. Kunchurov43101111113O. Efimov28126641
WApr 23 · 14:40D. Kunchurov331111113O. Efimov198560
WApr 16 · 10:05D. Kunchurov50111288113O. Efimov45610111172
WApr 3 · 10:35D. Kunchurov4391211113O. Efimov341110581
LMar 6 · 07:00D. Kunchurov355111271O. Efimov4511914113
D. Kunchurov10
LOct 2 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.101371111113D. Kunchurov1.6515115682LOct 2 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.501111113D. Kunchurov2.509870LOct 2 · 12:30K. Vernudin1.8011119113D. Kunchurov1.91981151WSep 26 · 11:30D. Kunchurov1.5711711113K. Tsoi2.25711661LSep 26 · 09:30O. Stopin1.17119135113D. Kunchurov4.50711111162LSep 26 · 07:30O. Ponomarenko1.441111113D. Kunchurov2.638480LSep 26 · 06:30D. Kunchurov1.8369111172K. Vernudin1.83111188113WSep 26 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.253515101D. Kunchurov1.57111113123WSep 25 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko1.917880D. Kunchurov1.801111113WSep 25 · 17:30O. Efimov3.40121020D. Kunchurov1.301412103
O. Efimov10
LOct 2 · 16:00K. Vernudin1.2811118113O. Efimov3.50681171WOct 2 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.10113811102O. Efimov6.50711118123LOct 2 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.301112113O. Efimov3.4071090LSep 25 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754730LSep 25 · 17:30O. Efimov3.40121020D. Kunchurov1.301412103LSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.63911116143O. Efimov1.44119811122WSep 25 · 13:30O. Ponomarenko1.1799120O. Efimov4.501111143LSep 25 · 12:30K. Vernudin1.611111143O. Efimov2.2065120LAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113WAug 28 · 16:30O. Efimov1.611111113M. Mykhailenko2.208860
Upcoming Matches
D. Kunchurov
O. Efimov
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