TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Dmytro Kunchurov vs Kyryl Vernudin 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611911118118711
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKyryl Vernudin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Kyryl Vernudin below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Kyryl Vernudin at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Kunchurov 3–4 Kyryl Vernudin Dmytro Kunchurov has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vernudin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 972 vs Vernudin 973
Vernudin
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 80% vs Vernudin 40%
Kunchurov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 60% vs Vernudin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov +4 · Vernudin -2
Kunchurov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vernudin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vernudin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 1.83 / Vernudin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vernudin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13196778
Kunchurov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Vernudin1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKunchurov3wins
AwayVernudin4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVernudin leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKunchurov75%3 of 4
AwayVernudin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kunchurov4Vernudin3n = 7Kunchurov took 4 of 7
S2Kunchurov2Vernudin5n = 7Vernudin took 5 of 7
S3Kunchurov3Vernudin3n = 6split evenly
S4Kunchurov5Vernudin1n = 6Kunchurov took 5 of 6
S5Kunchurov1Vernudin3n = 4Vernudin took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKunchurovVernudinK − VBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match47.345.8+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovVernudinBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 218 vs 19 / 4839.5%39.6%86 / 218 vs 19 / 48Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.835.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VernudinKunchurov 1.83/Vernudin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vernudin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vernudin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 26 · 06:30D. Kunchurov4469111172K. Vernudin49111188113
LSep 5 · 08:30D. Kunchurov49891111102K. Vernudin50111197123
WAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov48111115113K. Vernudin36931771
LAug 22 · 09:50D. Kunchurov33117781K. Vernudin4071111113
LAug 18 · 16:10D. Kunchurov557101111162K. Vernudin53111293183
WJul 12 · 12:09D. Kunchurov5511111012113K. Vernudin47813121042
D. Kunchurov10
WSep 26 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.253515101D. Kunchurov1.57111113123WSep 25 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko1.917880D. Kunchurov1.801111113WSep 25 · 17:30O. Efimov3.40121020D. Kunchurov1.301412103WSep 25 · 16:00K. Vernudin1.673970D. Kunchurov2.101111103LSep 25 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251191111153D. Kunchurov3.75131168132WSep 25 · 12:00O. Ponomarenko1.4411116592D. Kunchurov2.63461111113LSep 12 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.10117711113D. Kunchurov1.6761111892WSep 12 · 10:00M. Tkalich2.108760D. Kunchurov1.671111113LSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131
K. Vernudin10
LSep 26 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.361111143K. Vernudin3.0089120LSep 25 · 18:00O. Ponomarenko1.3311911113K. Vernudin3.25511851WSep 25 · 17:00K. Vernudin4.5011119133V. Mykhalchenko1.177511111LSep 25 · 16:00K. Vernudin1.673970D. Kunchurov2.101111103WSep 25 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.20118119123M. Mykhailenko4.33811411102WSep 25 · 12:30K. Vernudin1.611111143O. Efimov2.2065120WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871
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