TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Sergey Osipov vs Pavlo Ostrovskyi 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115117––––
Pavlo Ostrovskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–1Last 3Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavlo Ostrovskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSergey Osipov above · Pavlo Ostrovskyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Pavlo Ostrovskyi at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:16What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ostrovskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Osipov 60% vs Ostrovskyi 67%
—
Too close
7pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osipov 40% vs Ostrovskyi 67%
Ostrovskyi
Wrong
27pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osipov -2 · Ostrovskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ostrovskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsipov 2.00 / Ostrovskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ostrovskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13206212
Osipov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back9% 2 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Ostrovskyi1.73
67%won 2 of 3 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 1 of 3
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsipovOstrovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 275 vs 1 / 347.3%66.7%130 / 275 vs 1 / 3Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
OstrovskyiOsipov 2.00/Ostrovskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ostrovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osipov won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Osipov10
LSep 27 · 15:40V. Kucheriavyi1.91111173S. Osipov1.809660LSep 27 · 13:40V. Varchenko1.5311911113S. Osipov2.38311841WSep 27 · 12:40S. Osipov2.631111133V. Kondratenko1.4486110WSep 27 · 11:40O. Miklukha1.57111051162S. Osipov2.25512116113WSep 22 · 17:40S. Hovorunets1.673720S. Osipov2.101111113WSep 22 · 16:10S. Osipov3.001111113D. Khavanskyi1.366370LSep 22 · 14:10V. Varchenko1.67147119113S. Osipov2.10121181172LSep 22 · 12:10S. Semenets1.4411612113S. Osipov2.638111091LSep 22 · 11:10V. Stukalov1.2211911133S. Osipov4.004119111LSep 3 · 12:05S. Osipov2.258780S. Semenets1.571111113
P. Ostrovskyi3
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