TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Levicky vs Vojtech Cerny 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 6Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711711911––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched: 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Vojtech Cerny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 · our read held Jakub Levicky at 58.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 5–3 Vojtech Cerny Vojtech Cerny has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5858.1%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.8pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Levicky
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Levicky
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1573 vs Cerny 1552
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 80% vs Cerny 20%
Levicky
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 50% vs Cerny 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +1 · Cerny -4
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.615 / Cerny 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Levicky)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13248535
Levicky1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 92 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it96% 42 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it89% 69 of 78
Cerny2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 12 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLevicky5wins
AwayCerny3wins
Levicky leads 5–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky100%3 of 3
AwayCerny60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky3Cerny5n = 8Cerny took 5 of 8
S2Levicky5Cerny3n = 8Levicky took 5 of 8
S3Levicky5Cerny3n = 8Levicky took 5 of 8
S4Levicky3Cerny1n = 4Levicky took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricLevickyCernyL − CBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match34.132.4+1.7per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 903 vs 53 / 10850.6%49.1%457 / 903 vs 53 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.61/Cerny 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 12 · 21:30J. Levicky361114113V. Cerny2791260
WJul 12 · 18:00J. Levicky46131111113V. Cerny36158671
WJul 10 · 14:30J. Levicky331111113V. Cerny144550
LJul 6 · 08:00J. Levicky2551550V. Cerny391117113
WJun 4 · 11:00J. Levicky4171211113V. Cerny331110661
LJun 3 · 11:00J. Levicky2789100V. Cerny341111123
WJun 3 · 07:00J. Levicky4011117113V. Cerny35781191
LNov 29 · 18:30J. Levicky25751121V. Cerny4111118113
J. Levicky10
WOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182WOct 6 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91771311102J. Levicky1.801111115123LOct 6 · 06:00J. Levicky2.25111197102P. Danko1.57481111123WOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 08:00J. Levicky1.5311513113O. Hradil2.386111191WOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113LOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113LOct 4 · 12:59D. Oborny1.6111711113J. Levicky2.20611581LOct 4 · 12:00V. Zidek1.441111113J. Levicky2.635610LOct 4 · 11:00M. Volny1.501191311113J. Levicky2.50131111622
V. Cerny10
LOct 6 · 08:59J. Levicky1.83811118113V. Cerny1.8311491182LOct 6 · 07:00P. Danko1.8391111113V. Cerny1.83116891LOct 6 · 06:30V. Cerny2.508470M. Heczko1.501111113LSep 20 · 21:28D. Oborny2.0011511113V. Cerny1.73411851LSep 20 · 20:00D. Oborny2.381111153V. Cerny1.5386130WSep 20 · 19:00L. Velicka1.918560V. Cerny1.801111113WSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192LSep 17 · 21:30V. Cerny1.7311661192V. Adamczyk2.00911116113WSep 17 · 20:30V. Adamczyk1.73611891V. Cerny2.0011511113WSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142
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