TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Volny vs Jakub Levicky 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11139111311116112
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:58 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Volny to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Volny above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-5
Point 79 set 4, 6-5 · our read held Marek Volny at 60.9%
79 points drawn · the score is 19 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marek Volny 20–10 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 10 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:5860.9%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 5.8pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Volny
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-10 in 30
Volny
Correct
gap of 10 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volny 1569 vs Levicky 1583
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volny 80% vs Levicky 40%
Volny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volny 60% vs Levicky 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volny +2 · Levicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Volny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.50 / Levicky 2.50
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Volny)-5.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238945
Volny1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 55 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Levicky2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 57 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVolny6wins
AwayLevicky4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVolny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolny66.7%6 of 9
AwayLevickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volny9Levicky1n = 10Volny took 9 of 10
S2Volny5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S3Volny5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S4Volny4Levicky3n = 7Volny took 4 of 7
S5Volny1Levicky2n = 3Levicky took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVolnyLevickyV − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match39.334.7+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnyLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 189 vs 453 / 89452.4%50.7%99 / 189 vs 453 / 894Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.50/Levicky 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 21:30M. Volny51128111192J. Levicky471011132113
WAug 18 · 18:30M. Volny4211711133J. Levicky399118111
WAug 10 · 21:28M. Volny48116911113J. Levicky3621111572
LAug 10 · 19:30M. Volny331112731J. Levicky45131011113
WAug 6 · 18:00M. Volny391411143J. Levicky27123120
WAug 2 · 20:59M. Volny351113113J. Levicky2691160
WAug 2 · 19:00M. Volny331111113J. Levicky165380
LJul 27 · 20:00M. Volny331161061J. Levicky3731112113
LJul 22 · 20:00M. Volny3911911262J. Levicky39511111113
WJul 17 · 21:06M. Volny4012116113J. Levicky351081161
M. Volny10
LOct 4 · 12:30M. Volny2.63881171D. Oborny1.4411117113WOct 4 · 10:00V. Zidek1.731191051M. Volny2.0081112113WSep 29 · 09:28D. Machander1.67811581M. Volny2.1011811113LSep 29 · 08:00D. Machander1.7311119113M. Volny2.00461131WSep 29 · 07:00M. Koral2.3854100M. Volny1.531111123WSep 29 · 06:30M. Volny1.331111113M. Blejchar3.257450WSep 20 · 21:12M. Volny1.2512511113L. Velicka3.751011591WSep 20 · 20:30L. Velicka2.3810121111112M. Volny1.53121496133LSep 20 · 19:30M. Volny1.679680D. Oborny2.101111113LSep 20 · 18:30V. Cerny2.63121296113M. Volny1.441010111192
J. Levicky10
LOct 4 · 12:00V. Zidek1.441111113J. Levicky2.635610WOct 4 · 10:30J. Levicky1.837111011113D. Oborny1.8311912582LOct 4 · 09:00D. Machander2.381511109113J. Levicky1.53135121192LOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113WOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113LOct 4 · 06:00J. Levicky1.83211851D. Oborny1.8311311113WOct 2 · 09:30J. Levicky2.25111113113J. Schwan1.581351191WOct 2 · 08:30J. Levicky1.8311179113J. Mikula1.839151191WOct 2 · 07:00J. Levicky2.7511114113J. Schwan1.40781181WOct 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.3014881182J. Levicky3.401211117113
Upcoming Matches
M. Volny
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J. Levicky
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