TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Skacelik vs Jakub Levicky 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1412811811117811
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:57 and never touched: 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 101 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Richard Skacelik at 74.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 6–2 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5774.7%Our read76.9%to break even at 1.30
short by 2.2pp76.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.30 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Skacelik
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Skacelik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1663 vs Levicky 1583
Skacelik
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 60% vs Levicky 40%
Skacelik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 70% vs Levicky 50%
Skacelik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +1 · Levicky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Skacelik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.30 / Levicky 3.40
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Skacelik)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13226690
Skacelik1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 68 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it71% 51 of 72
Levicky3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 28)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back18% 14 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSkacelik6wins
AwayLevicky2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSkacelik leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik80%4 of 5
AwayLevicky33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik5Levicky3n = 8Skacelik took 5 of 8
S2Skacelik6Levicky2n = 8Skacelik took 6 of 8
S3Skacelik5Levicky3n = 8Skacelik took 5 of 8
S4Skacelik4Levicky2n = 6Skacelik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSkacelikLevickyS − LBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.433.2+7.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 490 vs 451 / 89549%50.4%240 / 490 vs 451 / 895Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.30/Levicky 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
74.7%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 2 · 06:00R. Skacelik4914881182J. Levicky521211117113
WSep 20 · 12:30R. Skacelik331111113J. Levicky194870
WSep 20 · 07:00R. Skacelik361411113J. Levicky2412480
WSep 18 · 07:30R. Skacelik48711118113J. Levicky4011851152
WSep 16 · 09:28R. Skacelik4013115113J. Levicky351161171
LSep 16 · 08:00R. Skacelik35811791J. Levicky3911611113
WSep 6 · 15:30R. Skacelik3961111113J. Levicky30115861
WApr 7 · 18:00R. Skacelik43111011113J. Levicky27312661
R. Skacelik10
WOct 2 · 07:30J. Mikula1.7351111772R. Skacelik2.00116411113WSep 30 · 13:30V. Adamczyk2.20671181R. Skacelik1.6111118113LSep 30 · 12:30V. Adamczyk1.8312118113R. Skacelik1.831091181WSep 30 · 11:30R. Skacelik1.8011911113J. Cabak1.91711881WSep 30 · 10:30R. Vavrecka2.00611281R. Skacelik1.7311711113LSep 30 · 09:30R. Skacelik1.7311117482R. Vavrecka2.00581111113WSep 30 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.801111113J. Schwan1.917860WSep 30 · 07:30V. Adamczyk2.631551181R. Skacelik1.4417114113LSep 30 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.6771411382R. Vavrecka2.101112511113WSep 28 · 13:30D. Oborny2.0081111121R. Skacelik1.7211813143
J. Levicky10
WOct 2 · 07:00J. Levicky2.7511114113J. Schwan1.40781181WSep 28 · 17:00J. Levicky1.73138411113D. Oborny2.00111111992LSep 28 · 16:00J. Levicky1.8057100J. Stoch1.911111123LSep 28 · 15:30D. Oborny1.83111210113J. Levicky1.837101251WSep 28 · 14:00J. Levicky1.731111113M. Heczko2.008850LSep 27 · 09:00V. Zidek1.40811118113J. Levicky2.7511651132LSep 27 · 08:00J. Levicky1.80711811M. Heczko1.9111911113WSep 27 · 07:30D. Oborny1.91911891J. Levicky1.8011611113LSep 27 · 06:00J. Levicky2.631311851V. Zidek1.4415711113WSep 26 · 13:00J. Levicky1.131111113V. Adamczyk5.505740
Upcoming Matches
R. Skacelik
Nothing scheduled
J. Levicky
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