TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Zidek vs Jakub Levicky 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811116115811113
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 85 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Jakub Levicky at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 42–21 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 21 of their 63 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Zidek beat Levicky 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:55What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zidek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-21 in 63
Zidek
Correct
gap of 21 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1584 vs Levicky 1558
Zidek
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 20% vs Levicky 60%
Levicky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 40% vs Levicky 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek -2 · Levicky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Zidek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levicky form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 1.40 / Levicky 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zidek)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13205555
Zidek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 55 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Levicky2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 60 of 149
Down 0–1, comes back21% 17 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek9wins
AwayLevicky1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidek100%5 of 5
AwayLevicky20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Zidek7Levicky3n = 10Zidek took 7 of 10
S3Zidek8Levicky2n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S4Zidek5Levicky3n = 8Zidek took 5 of 8
S5Zidek3Levicky0n = 3Zidek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekLevickyZ − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.931.8+10.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 415 vs 448 / 89355.7%50.2%231 / 415 vs 448 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekZidek 1.40/Levicky 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zidek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 09:00V. Zidek49811118113J. Levicky3611651132
WSep 27 · 06:00V. Zidek4415711113J. Levicky371311851
WSep 26 · 10:00V. Zidek511110811113J. Levicky4241211962
LSep 11 · 06:00V. Zidek358115111J. Levicky3911411133
WAug 5 · 21:30V. Zidek47111411113J. Levicky38816681
WAug 5 · 19:30V. Zidek331111113J. Levicky207760
WAug 3 · 20:00V. Zidek43101111113J. Levicky28125471
WJul 29 · 20:00V. Zidek3851111113J. Levicky27118531
WJul 4 · 13:30V. Zidek331111113J. Levicky155550
WJul 4 · 11:00V. Zidek46911114113J. Levicky3611641142
V. Zidek10
LSep 27 · 08:30V. Zidek1.50117581D. Oborny2.5081111113LSep 27 · 07:00V. Zidek2.001111821M. Heczko1.7313711113WSep 27 · 06:00J. Levicky2.631311851V. Zidek1.4415711113LSep 26 · 13:30P. Slavik1.60111113113V. Zidek2.201341171LSep 26 · 12:30V. Zidek2.5071161172P. Slavik1.50112118113WSep 26 · 11:00V. Zidek1.83991111113V. Adamczyk1.8311116872WSep 26 · 10:00J. Levicky2.6341211962V. Zidek1.441110811113WSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113LSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142
J. Levicky10
LSep 27 · 08:00J. Levicky1.80711811M. Heczko1.9111911113WSep 27 · 07:30D. Oborny1.91911891J. Levicky1.8011611113LSep 27 · 06:00J. Levicky2.631311851V. Zidek1.4415711113WSep 26 · 13:00J. Levicky1.131111113V. Adamczyk5.505740WSep 26 · 12:00J. Levicky2.201211113V. Adamczyk1.6110780LSep 26 · 11:30P. Slavik2.381111113J. Levicky1.536880LSep 26 · 10:00J. Levicky2.6341211962V. Zidek1.441110811113WSep 23 · 17:30J. Levicky2.75812311113T. Petrek1.40111011892LSep 23 · 16:30T. Petrek1.4011711113J. Levicky2.75811971WSep 23 · 15:30J. Levicky2.20461111123A. Walek1.61111189102
Upcoming Matches
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J. Levicky
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