TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Zidek vs Dominik Oborny 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711511811––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Dominik Oborny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Vaclav Zidek at 62.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 20–11 Dominik Oborny Dominik Oborny has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zidek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Zidek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1574 vs Oborny 1559
Zidek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 40% vs Oborny 20%
Zidek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 40% vs Oborny 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek -1 · Oborny -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zidek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Oborny form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 1.50 / Oborny 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zidek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13199429
Zidek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 55 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Oborny2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 51 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back19% 14 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek7wins
AwayOborny3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidek85.7%6 of 7
AwayOborny66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek7Oborny3n = 10Zidek took 7 of 10
S2Zidek4Oborny6n = 10Oborny took 6 of 10
S3Zidek8Oborny2n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S4Zidek5Oborny2n = 7Zidek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekObornyZ − OBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.232.5+6.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekObornyBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 414 vs 325 / 62555.6%52%230 / 414 vs 325 / 625Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekZidek 1.50/Oborny 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Oborny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 08:30V. Zidek31117581D. Oborny4181111113
WSep 17 · 20:59V. Zidek43111011113D. Oborny35512991
LSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek4051151182D. Oborny50118119113
WAug 5 · 18:00V. Zidek43111011113D. Oborny30912541
WAug 3 · 19:30V. Zidek43111011113D. Oborny27912421
LJul 26 · 20:00V. Zidek381281171D. Oborny4214116113
WJul 25 · 18:00V. Zidek351111133D. Oborny2045110
WJul 4 · 12:00V. Zidek531191111113D. Oborny4413115872
WJul 4 · 09:30V. Zidek331111113D. Oborny149230
WJul 4 · 06:00V. Zidek331111113D. Oborny227960
V. Zidek10
WSep 27 · 09:00V. Zidek1.40811118113J. Levicky2.7511651132LSep 27 · 07:00V. Zidek2.001111821M. Heczko1.7313711113WSep 27 · 06:00J. Levicky2.631311851V. Zidek1.4415711113LSep 26 · 13:30P. Slavik1.60111113113V. Zidek2.201341171LSep 26 · 12:30V. Zidek2.5071161172P. Slavik1.50112118113WSep 26 · 11:00V. Zidek1.83991111113V. Adamczyk1.8311116872WSep 26 · 10:00J. Levicky2.6341211962V. Zidek1.441110811113WSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113LSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113LSep 17 · 19:30V. Cerny2.63116128113V. Zidek1.44611101142
D. Oborny10
WSep 27 · 09:30D. Oborny1.731111113M. Heczko2.008890LSep 27 · 07:30D. Oborny1.91911891J. Levicky1.8011611113WSep 27 · 06:30M. Heczko2.00115971D. Oborny1.7381111113LSep 25 · 08:58D. Machander2.10119211113D. Oborny1.6741111482LSep 25 · 08:30D. Oborny1.618790D. Machander2.201111113LSep 25 · 07:00D. Oborny2.20711961R. Skacelik1.6111611113LSep 25 · 06:00J. Cabak1.40111110113D. Oborny2.75691251WSep 24 · 08:59D. Oborny1.61111111133J. Mikula2.207135111LSep 17 · 20:59D. Oborny2.20512991V. Zidek1.61111011113WSep 17 · 20:00V. Zidek1.4451151182D. Oborny2.63118119113
Upcoming Matches
V. Zidek
Nothing scheduled
D. Oborny
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