TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Petrek vs Jakub Levicky 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Tomas Petrek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711119117––
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:53 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Petrek to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Petrek above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Petrek at 67.5%
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Petrek 5–1 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Petrek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Petrek
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Petrek 1582 vs Levicky 1580
Petrek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Petrek 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Petrek 30% vs Levicky 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Petrek +1 · Levicky +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Petrek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Petrek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPetrek 1.40 / Levicky 2.75
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Petrek)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13178750
Petrek1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 26 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Levicky2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 59 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePetrek5wins
AwayLevicky1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderPetrek leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePetrek100%5 of 5
AwayLevickyn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Petrek5Levicky1n = 6Petrek took 5 of 6
S2Petrek3Levicky3n = 6split evenly
S3Petrek5Levicky1n = 6Petrek took 5 of 6
S4Petrek4Levicky1n = 5Petrek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home467%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricPetrekLevickyP − LBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match42.331.2+11.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPetrekLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 216 vs 444 / 88350%50.3%108 / 216 vs 444 / 883Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PetrekPetrek 1.40/Levicky 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Petrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Petrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WApr 2 · 13:30T. Petrek4211911113J. Levicky28511841
WApr 2 · 11:30T. Petrek4111712113J. Levicky274111021
WMar 20 · 16:30T. Petrek4311129113J. Levicky355101191
WMar 17 · 22:30T. Petrek331111113J. Levicky199640
LMar 17 · 19:00T. Petrek539111111112J. Levicky52119613133
WMar 16 · 11:00T. Petrek4211911113J. Levicky26611451
T. Petrek10
WSep 23 · 15:00T. Petrek1.611115117153D. Heczko2.20517911132LSep 23 · 14:00A. Walek2.201111113T. Petrek1.619890LSep 10 · 21:06D. Unzeitig—713911113T. Petrek—111111232WSep 10 · 20:30D. Unzeitig1.53111081162T. Petrek2.38512117113LSep 10 · 19:30T. Petrek2.637740T. Kypr1.441111113LSep 10 · 18:30Z. Pagac1.6771111113T. Petrek2.10116791WSep 10 · 09:00D. Machander1.831111951T. Petrek1.8313811113LSep 10 · 08:00T. Petrek1.675940R. Skacelik2.101111113LSep 10 · 07:30D. Machander2.2013118123T. Petrek1.6111411101LSep 10 · 06:00T. Petrek1.677970J. Cabak2.101111113
J. Levicky10
WSep 23 · 15:30J. Levicky2.20461111123A. Walek1.61111189102WSep 23 · 14:30D. Heczko2.25611671J. Levicky1.5711511113LSep 20 · 13:00D. Langer2.63811811113J. Levicky1.4411511262LSep 20 · 12:30R. Skacelik1.501111113J. Levicky2.404870LSep 20 · 11:30J. Levicky2.38115781J. Simecek1.5351111113WSep 20 · 10:30D. Langer1.61711651J. Levicky2.2011311113LSep 20 · 08:58J. Schwan1.441111113J. Levicky2.634830LSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113LSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113LSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan1.50611812113J. Levicky2.50119111012
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