TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Zidek vs Jakub Levicky 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116111––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched: 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Zidek to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Zidek above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-1
Point 45 set 3, 11-1 · our read held Vaclav Zidek at 66.1%
45 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Zidek 42–21 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 21 of their 63 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:5866.1%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.2pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zidek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
42-21 in 63
Zidek
Correct
gap of 21 in 63, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zidek 1582 vs Levicky 1595
Levicky
Wrong
both rated, 13 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zidek 40% vs Levicky 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zidek 50% vs Levicky 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zidek +1 · Levicky -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Zidek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zidek form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZidek 1.444 / Levicky 2.625
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Zidek)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238646
Zidek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 57 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Levicky2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 57 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZidek9wins
AwayLevicky1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZidek leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZidek100%5 of 5
AwayLevicky20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zidek5Levicky5n = 10split evenly
S2Zidek7Levicky3n = 10Zidek took 7 of 10
S3Zidek8Levicky2n = 10Zidek took 8 of 10
S4Zidek5Levicky3n = 8Zidek took 5 of 8
S5Zidek3Levicky0n = 3Zidek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZidekLevickyZ − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.931.8+10.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZidekLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 413 vs 453 / 89555.5%50.6%229 / 413 vs 453 / 895Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZidekZidek 1.44/Levicky 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Zidek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zidek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 09:00V. Zidek49811118113J. Levicky3611651132
WSep 27 · 06:00V. Zidek4415711113J. Levicky371311851
WSep 26 · 10:00V. Zidek511110811113J. Levicky4241211962
LSep 11 · 06:00V. Zidek358115111J. Levicky3911411133
WAug 5 · 21:30V. Zidek47111411113J. Levicky38816681
WAug 5 · 19:30V. Zidek331111113J. Levicky207760
WAug 3 · 20:00V. Zidek43101111113J. Levicky28125471
WJul 29 · 20:00V. Zidek3851111113J. Levicky27118531
WJul 4 · 13:30V. Zidek331111113J. Levicky155550
WJul 4 · 11:00V. Zidek46911114113J. Levicky3611641142
V. Zidek10
WOct 4 · 11:30D. Oborny2.3861161182V. Zidek1.53114118113LOct 4 · 10:00V. Zidek1.731191051M. Volny2.0081112113WSep 27 · 09:00V. Zidek1.40811118113J. Levicky2.7511651132LSep 27 · 08:30V. Zidek1.50117581D. Oborny2.5081111113LSep 27 · 07:00V. Zidek2.001111821M. Heczko1.7313711113WSep 27 · 06:00J. Levicky2.631311851V. Zidek1.4415711113LSep 26 · 13:30P. Slavik1.60111113113V. Zidek2.201341171LSep 26 · 12:30V. Zidek2.5071161172P. Slavik1.50112118113WSep 26 · 11:00V. Zidek1.83991111113V. Adamczyk1.8311116872WSep 26 · 10:00J. Levicky2.6341211962V. Zidek1.441110811113
J. Levicky10
LOct 4 · 11:00M. Volny1.501191311113J. Levicky2.50131111622WOct 4 · 10:30J. Levicky1.837111011113D. Oborny1.8311912582LOct 4 · 09:00D. Machander2.381511109113J. Levicky1.53135121192LOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113WOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113LOct 4 · 06:00J. Levicky1.83211851D. Oborny1.8311311113WOct 2 · 09:30J. Levicky2.25111113113J. Schwan1.581351191LSep 27 · 09:00V. Zidek1.40811118113J. Levicky2.7511651132LSep 27 · 06:00J. Levicky2.631311851V. Zidek1.4415711113LSep 26 · 10:00J. Levicky2.6341211962V. Zidek1.441110811113
Upcoming Matches
V. Zidek
Nothing scheduled
J. Levicky
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