TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Levicky vs Oliver Hradil 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1165111311119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Levicky to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Oliver Hradil below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Jakub Levicky at 60.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 1–0 Oliver Hradil Oliver Hradil has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5760.8%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.4pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Levicky
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1548 vs Hradil 1505
Levicky
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 20% vs Hradil 80%
Hradil
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 30% vs Hradil 60%
Hradil
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky +1 · Hradil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Levicky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 1.533 / Hradil 2.375
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Levicky)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243617
Levicky1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 90 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it88% 67 of 76
Hradil2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLevicky1wins
AwayHradil0wins
Levicky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLevickyHradilL − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyHradilBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 899 vs 10 / 2650.5%38.5%454 / 899 vs 10 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LevickyLevicky 1.53/Hradil 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Levicky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levicky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 14:30J. Levicky331111113O. Hradil219660
J. Levicky10
WOct 5 · 09:30S. Byrtus1.73156100J. Levicky2.001711123WOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113LOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113LOct 4 · 12:59D. Oborny1.6111711113J. Levicky2.20611581LOct 4 · 12:00V. Zidek1.441111113J. Levicky2.635610LOct 4 · 11:00M. Volny1.501191311113J. Levicky2.50131111622WOct 4 · 10:30J. Levicky1.837111011113D. Oborny1.8311912582LOct 4 · 09:00D. Machander2.381511109113J. Levicky1.53135121192LOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113WOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113
O. Hradil10
LOct 5 · 09:07O. Hradil1.83103111162M. Heczko1.83121155113LOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.6781111113O. Hradil2.10114721WOct 5 · 06:30O. Hradil1.8311411113M. Heczko1.83711781WSep 27 · 09:30O. Hradil2.7591111113J. Hrabec1.40112571WSep 27 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.83136791O. Hradil1.83111111113WSep 27 · 07:00L. Velicka1.91123991O. Hradil1.80101111113LSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil2.0011129101J. Hrabec1.7381411123LSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 08:00P. Chovanec1.6111115672O. Hradil2.20991111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113
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