TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Samuel Byrtus vs Oliver Hradil 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114117112––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingSamuel Byrtus above · Oliver Hradil below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 65 set 4, 11-2 · our read held Samuel Byrtus at 55.8%
65 points played in total.
H2H Samuel Byrtus 2–0 Oliver Hradil Oliver Hradil has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5855.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Byrtus 1592 vs Hradil 1505
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Byrtus 60% vs Hradil 80%
Hradil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Byrtus 50% vs Hradil 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Byrtus +1 · Hradil +4
Hradil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Byrtus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hradil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsByrtus 1.666 / Hradil 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Byrtus)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13243610
Byrtus1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Hradil2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeByrtus2wins
AwayHradil0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderByrtus leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricByrtusHradilB − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match46.537.5+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricByrtusHradilBasisWin rate · lifetime292 / 565 vs 10 / 2651.7%38.5%292 / 565 vs 10 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusByrtus 1.67/Hradil 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus4181111113O. Hradil24114721
WAug 21 · 11:30S. Byrtus521011116143O. Hradil51128811122
S. Byrtus10
WOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky2.1012911982S. Byrtus1.671011611113LOct 4 · 09:29D. Oborny1.53119119113S. Byrtus2.3881171182WOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113LOct 4 · 07:00D. Oborny1.57111111113S. Byrtus2.25791351WOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161LSep 25 · 17:30S. Byrtus2.25671161A. Walek1.5711113113WSep 25 · 16:30A. Walek2.00710110S. Byrtus1.731112133WSep 25 · 15:30S. Byrtus1.8011111010113D. Langer1.9188121282LSep 25 · 14:30D. Heczko1.7311121111113S. Byrtus2.0091413862LSep 22 · 08:58D. Machander2.10811116113S. Byrtus1.6711681192
O. Hradil10
WOct 5 · 06:30O. Hradil1.8311411113M. Heczko1.83711781WSep 27 · 09:30O. Hradil2.7591111113J. Hrabec1.40112571WSep 27 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.83136791O. Hradil1.83111111113WSep 27 · 07:00L. Velicka1.91123991O. Hradil1.80101111113LSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil2.0011129101J. Hrabec1.7381411123LSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 08:00P. Chovanec1.6111115672O. Hradil2.20991111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113
Upcoming Matches
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