TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Oliver Hradil vs Marcel Heczko 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117411117118––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:21 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Hradil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOliver Hradil above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 70 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Oliver Hradil at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Hradil 1–0 Marcel Heczko Marcel Heczko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2154.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Heczko
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hradil 1505 vs Heczko 1520
Heczko
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hradil 60% vs Heczko 40%
Hradil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hradil 60% vs Heczko 30%
Hradil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hradil +3 · Heczko -1
Hradil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hradil) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heczko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHradil 1.833 / Heczko 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hradil)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13243672
Hradil1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 27) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Heczko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 28) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHradil1wins
AwayHeczko0wins
Hradil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHradilHeczkoHradil − HeczkoBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.033.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHradilHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 26 vs 289 / 59538.5%48.6%10 / 26 vs 289 / 595Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HradilHradil 1.83/Heczko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hradil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hradil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 5 · 06:30O. Hradil3711411113M. Heczko33711781
O. Hradil10
LOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.6781111113O. Hradil2.10114721WSep 27 · 09:30O. Hradil2.7591111113J. Hrabec1.40112571WSep 27 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.83136791O. Hradil1.83111111113WSep 27 · 07:00L. Velicka1.91123991O. Hradil1.80101111113LSep 27 · 06:30O. Hradil2.0011129101J. Hrabec1.7381411123LSep 13 · 09:29A. Rinka1.5011116113O. Hradil2.50581161WSep 13 · 08:00P. Chovanec1.6111115672O. Hradil2.20991111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Blejchar1.80611961O. Hradil1.9111811113LSep 13 · 06:30O. Hradil2.3811147872A. Rinka1.533121111113LSep 7 · 16:59O. Hradil1.61111181192L. Velicka2.20138113113
M. Heczko10
LOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113LSep 28 · 17:30J. Stoch1.6701111113M. Heczko2.10114951WSep 28 · 16:30M. Heczko1.831111113D. Oborny1.836790WSep 28 · 15:00M. Heczko1.83115614123J. Stoch1.838111112102LSep 28 · 14:00J. Levicky1.731111113M. Heczko2.008850LSep 28 · 12:58T. Petrek1.53511118113M. Heczko2.3811861192LSep 28 · 12:30M. Heczko1.83101181362D. Oborny1.831241111113LSep 28 · 11:00M. Heczko2.10145781T. Petrek1.67121111113LSep 28 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.67111156113M. Heczko2.1076111172LSep 27 · 09:30D. Oborny1.731111113M. Heczko2.008890
Upcoming Matches
O. Hradil
Nothing scheduled
M. Heczko
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