TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Richard Skacelik vs Marcel Heczko 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117116511611117
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:52 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Marcel Heczko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 86 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 56.6%
86 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 0–1 Marcel Heczko Richard Skacelik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1651 vs Heczko 1579
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 80% vs Heczko 40%
Skacelik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 70% vs Heczko 50%
Skacelik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik +4 · Heczko -1
Skacelik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.67 / Heczko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Skacelik)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13205539
Skacelik1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite57% won 61 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 44 of 64
Heczko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 62 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkacelik0wins
AwayHeczko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHeczko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkacelikHeczkoS − HBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.050.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikHeczkoBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 476 vs 289 / 59148.5%48.9%231 / 476 vs 289 / 591Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.67/Heczko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 23 · 12:00R. Skacelik3911961122M. Heczko50811119113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 25 · 09:30R. Skacelik2.00612612123J. Cabak1.7311101110102WSep 25 · 08:00J. Cabak1.73121111992R. Skacelik2.00148911113WSep 25 · 07:00D. Oborny2.20711961R. Skacelik1.6111611113WSep 25 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.9141111113D. Machander1.80115761LSep 23 · 13:30R. Skacelik1.411199111V. Adamczyk2.5091111133LSep 23 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.8011961122M. Heczko1.91811119113WSep 23 · 11:30V. Adamczyk2.631061391R. Skacelik1.44121111113WSep 23 · 10:00R. Skacelik1.6711119113P. Danko2.10681191LSep 20 · 13:30J. Simecek1.5241111123R. Skacelik2.351176101WSep 20 · 12:30R. Skacelik1.501111113J. Levicky2.404870
M. Heczko10
LSep 27 · 09:30D. Oborny1.731111113M. Heczko2.008890WSep 27 · 08:00J. Levicky1.80711811M. Heczko1.9111911113WSep 27 · 07:00V. Zidek2.001111821M. Heczko1.7313711113LSep 27 · 06:30M. Heczko2.00115971D. Oborny1.7381111113LSep 23 · 12:59M. Heczko2.201181111122P. Danko1.61811139143WSep 23 · 12:00R. Skacelik1.8011961122M. Heczko1.91811119113WSep 23 · 11:00P. Danko1.53119671M. Heczko2.3871111113LSep 23 · 10:30M. Heczko2.3812411121V. Adamczyk1.5314119143WSep 23 · 08:58M. Heczko2.10911112113D. Oborny1.6711861152LSep 23 · 08:30M. Heczko2.008580V. Adamczyk1.731111113
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