TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jakub Levicky vs Samuel Byrtus 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911116911811
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeSamuel Byrtus to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 98 set 5, 8-11 · our read held Samuel Byrtus at 56.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 18–29 Samuel Byrtus Jakub Levicky has won 18 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5456.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Byrtus
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
18-29 in 47
Byrtus
Correct
gap of 11 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1548 vs Byrtus 1592
Byrtus
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 20% vs Byrtus 40%
Byrtus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 40% vs Byrtus 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -3 · Byrtus -1
Levicky
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Byrtus) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.10 / Byrtus 1.666
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Byrtus)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242616
Levicky2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog38% won 56 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Byrtus1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 88 of 145
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevicky2wins
AwayByrtus8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderByrtus leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky66.7%2 of 3
AwayByrtus100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky3Byrtus7n = 10Byrtus took 7 of 10
S2Levicky6Byrtus4n = 10Levicky took 6 of 10
S3Levicky7Byrtus3n = 10Levicky took 7 of 10
S4Levicky1Byrtus8n = 9Byrtus took 8 of 9
S5Levicky0Byrtus3n = 3Byrtus took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevickyByrtusL − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.6−2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickyByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime454 / 899 vs 292 / 56550.5%51.7%454 / 899 vs 292 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusLevicky 2.10/Byrtus 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 5 · 06:00J. Levicky4912911982S. Byrtus491011611113
LOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky389111171S. Byrtus4211137113
LSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky30413491S. Byrtus44111111113
WSep 18 · 08:30J. Levicky4311812123S. Byrtus3541110101
LAug 17 · 21:30J. Levicky409147101S. Byrtus46111211123
LAug 17 · 19:30J. Levicky44101111572S. Byrtus49129611113
LJun 23 · 08:30J. Levicky4161111762S. Byrtus47119511113
WJun 5 · 19:30J. Levicky331111113S. Byrtus258890
LApr 27 · 06:00J. Levicky34581381S. Byrtus44111111113
LApr 25 · 10:00J. Levicky36911971S. Byrtus3511211113
J. Levicky10
WOct 5 · 07:30M. Heczko1.91410111172J. Levicky1.80111269113LOct 4 · 12:59D. Oborny1.6111711113J. Levicky2.20611581LOct 4 · 12:00V. Zidek1.441111113J. Levicky2.635610LOct 4 · 11:00M. Volny1.501191311113J. Levicky2.50131111622WOct 4 · 10:30J. Levicky1.837111011113D. Oborny1.8311912582LOct 4 · 09:00D. Machander2.381511109113J. Levicky1.53135121192LOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113WOct 4 · 07:30D. Machander2.20111081152J. Levicky1.61712114113LOct 4 · 06:00J. Levicky1.83211851D. Oborny1.8311311113WOct 2 · 09:30J. Levicky2.25111113113J. Schwan1.581351191
S. Byrtus10
WOct 5 · 07:00S. Byrtus1.6781111113O. Hradil2.10114721LOct 4 · 09:29D. Oborny1.53119119113S. Byrtus2.3881171182WOct 4 · 08:00J. Levicky1.919111171S. Byrtus1.8011137113LOct 4 · 07:00D. Oborny1.57111111113S. Byrtus2.25791351WOct 4 · 06:30S. Byrtus1.7311119113D. Machander2.00561161LSep 25 · 17:30S. Byrtus2.25671161A. Walek1.5711113113WSep 25 · 16:30A. Walek2.00710110S. Byrtus1.731112133WSep 25 · 15:30S. Byrtus1.8011111010113D. Langer1.9188121282LSep 25 · 14:30D. Heczko1.7311121111113S. Byrtus2.0091413862LSep 22 · 08:58D. Machander2.10811116113S. Byrtus1.6711681192
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