TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Daniel Kostal vs Krzysztof Kapik · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 05:15Scheduled
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Head to head
2 – 2
All 4 meetings · 50.0%
Last 4 · 2–2
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Both players are 4–6 over their last ten. The difference is the direction: Daniel Kostal arrives off a win, Krzysztof Kapik off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 18h before this match
Kostal beat Kapik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 2.00 / Kapik 1.70
TT Elite Series · #13246667
Kostal2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 27 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Kapik1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest33%takes the first set · 3 of 9
As favourite61% won 217 of 357
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it77% 147 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKostal2wins
AwayKapik2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKostaln = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKapik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostal1Kapik3n = 4Kapik took 3 of 4
S2Kostal3Kapik1n = 4Kostal took 3 of 4
S3Kostal1Kapik3n = 4Kapik took 3 of 4
S4Kostal2Kapik1n = 3Kostal took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKostalKapikKostal − KapikBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match34.537.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 101 vs 1112 / 209441.6%53.1%42 / 101 vs 1112 / 2094Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.139.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WOct 4 · 10:50D. Kostal4171112113K. Kapik321171041
WSep 28 · 12:10D. Kostal44111210113K. Kapik389101271
LSep 28 · 06:00D. Kostal123540K. Kapik331111113
LSep 18 · 04:25D. Kostal419116151K. Kapik4511611173
D. Kostal10
WOct 5 · 04:00G. Poliniewicz1.683690D. Kostal2.051111113WOct 5 · 03:20D. Kostal3.2071111113M. Sklensky1.30117281LOct 4 · 14:10D. Kostal2.50133671K. Wisniewski1.50111111113LOct 4 · 12:30K. Kolodziej1.13111110113D. Kostal5.50431241LOct 4 · 11:40P. David1.2011118133D. Kostal4.339111111WOct 4 · 10:50D. Kostal2.0071112113K. Kapik1.731171041LOct 4 · 09:40D. Kostal4.001181281M. Jadczyk1.2241114113LOct 4 · 08:30K. Kolodziej1.401112113D. Kostal2.7551040WOct 4 · 07:20D. Kostal1.6191511113K. Wisniewski2.201113761LOct 4 · 06:05M. Jadczyk1.221011511113D. Kostal4.0012911832
K. Kapik10
LOct 5 · 04:25M. Olbrycht1.811212123K. Kapik1.901010100LOct 5 · 03:00G. Poliniewicz1.8611511113K. Kapik1.85511981LOct 4 · 19:40K. Kapik1.53911871J. Nadolny2.3811711113WOct 4 · 18:30K. Kapik1.401111113J. Zochniak2.759780WOct 4 · 17:20K. Kapik1.131111113B. Sulkowski5.507880LOct 4 · 16:05L. Pietraszko2.00144611113K. Kapik1.73121111452WOct 4 · 15:25K. Kapik1.401113113S. Brud2.7571180LOct 4 · 14:35P. David1.171111113K. Kapik4.507670WOct 4 · 13:20K. Kapik1.833K. Wisniewski1.831LOct 4 · 10:50D. Kostal2.0071112113K. Kapik1.731171041
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