TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Sedlak vs Jiri Dedek 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611611117117118
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched: 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMarek Sedlak above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Jiri Dedek at 56.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Marek Sedlak 0–1 Jiri Dedek Marek Sedlak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Dedek beat Sedlak 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:5656.4%Our read40.0%to break even at 2.50
clears by 16.4pp40.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sedlak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedlak 1485 vs Dedek 1481
Sedlak
Correct
both rated, 4 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlak 40% vs Dedek 60%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlak 50% vs Dedek 70%
Dedek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlak -2 · Dedek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Dedek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlak 1.50 / Dedek 2.50
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Dedek)+16.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13235139
Sedlak1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite38% won 8 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Dedek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 82 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back22% 28 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSedlak0wins
AwayDedek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderDedek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSedlakDedekS − DBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.049.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlakDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 125 vs 502 / 97446.4%51.5%58 / 125 vs 502 / 974Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DedekSedlak 1.50/Dedek 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LOct 2 · 19:00M. Sedlak42641111102J. Dedek49111178123
M. Sedlak10
LOct 2 · 20:00T. Dousa4.331111113M. Sedlak1.208940LOct 2 · 19:00J. Dedek2.63111178123M. Sedlak1.44641111102WOct 2 · 18:30M. Sedlak1.53911911113K. Darin2.3811311892WSep 14 · 20:58M. Sedlak1.251111113T. Dousa3.757480LSep 14 · 20:30M. Sedlak1.80581191L. Krticka1.9111114113WSep 14 · 19:00M. Sedlak1.20891111113T. Dousa4.3311118982LSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113WSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113
J. Dedek10
LOct 2 · 20:30J. Dedek1.837670K. Darin1.831111113WOct 2 · 19:00J. Dedek2.63111178123M. Sedlak1.44641111102LOct 2 · 18:00T. Dousa2.00111315123J. Dedek1.7381117101WOct 1 · 17:30J. Dedek1.50411611113Y. Holovatiuk2.5011711792WOct 1 · 16:30M. Kolar1.57471171J. Dedek2.2511118113WOct 1 · 15:30J. Dedek1.44511116113Y. Holovatiuk2.6311251152WOct 1 · 14:30T. Dousa1.839970J. Dedek1.831111113LOct 1 · 09:30J. Dedek1.85591111102K. Darin1.85111198123WOct 1 · 08:30J. Dedek1.401111113J. Steffan2.758670WOct 1 · 07:00J. Dedek1.33911911113J. Jnr3.2511411492
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