TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Tomas Dousa vs Marek Sedlak 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119114––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched: 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeMarek Sedlak to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Marek Sedlak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 · our read held Marek Sedlak at 79.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 0–5 Marek Sedlak Tomas Dousa has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5679.9%Our read83.3%to break even at 1.20
short by 3.4pp83.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.20 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Sedlak
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Sedlak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1462 vs Sedlak 1501
Sedlak
Wrong
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 60% vs Sedlak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 50% vs Sedlak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa -1 · Sedlak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% · Strong (leans Sedlak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlak form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 4.333 / Sedlak 1.20
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Sedlak)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13228413
Dousa4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 37 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Sedlak1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 8 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDousa0wins
AwaySedlak5wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSedlak leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySedlak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa1Sedlak4n = 5Sedlak took 4 of 5
S2Dousa2Sedlak3n = 5Sedlak took 3 of 5
S3Dousa0Sedlak5n = 5Sedlak took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricDousaSedlakD − SBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match30.638.0−7.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaSedlakBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 705 vs 58 / 12449.2%46.8%347 / 705 vs 58 / 124Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlakDousa 4.33/Sedlak 1.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.9%
Sedlak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 14 · 20:58T. Dousa197480M. Sedlak331111113
LSep 14 · 19:00T. Dousa4711118982M. Sedlak50891111113
LSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa268990M. Sedlak331111113
LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousa3910116121M. Sedlak4112411143
LSep 7 · 14:30T. Dousa228860M. Sedlak331111113
T. Dousa10
LOct 2 · 19:30K. Darin2.101111511123T. Dousa1.67591113102WOct 2 · 18:00T. Dousa2.00111315123J. Dedek1.7381117101WOct 2 · 17:05T. Dousa1.10111197113J. Prokupek6.5098111182WOct 2 · 16:30J. Prokupek1.91511971T. Dousa1.8011711113LOct 2 · 15:30T. Dousa2.251011881M. Vedmoch1.5712411113LOct 2 · 14:30V. Postelt1.571111113T. Dousa2.258890WOct 1 · 17:07T. Dousa1.6351211113M. Kolar2.131110491LOct 1 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63911911113T. Dousa1.4411311752WOct 1 · 15:00M. Kolar2.2511118752T. Dousa1.57471111113LOct 1 · 14:30T. Dousa1.839970J. Dedek1.831111113
M. Sedlak10
LOct 2 · 19:00J. Dedek2.63111178123M. Sedlak1.44641111102WOct 2 · 18:30M. Sedlak1.53911911113K. Darin2.3811311892WSep 14 · 20:58M. Sedlak1.251111113T. Dousa3.757480LSep 14 · 20:30M. Sedlak1.80581191L. Krticka1.9111114113WSep 14 · 19:00M. Sedlak1.20891111113T. Dousa4.3311118982LSep 14 · 18:00T. Janata1.8311113113M. Sedlak1.83871161WSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113WSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Sedlak1.5061030M. Kolar2.501112113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Vedmoch1.61121111113M. Sedlak2.20146751
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