TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Postelt vs Tomas Dousa 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118119––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Vladimir Postelt at 60.5%
58 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 23–11 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 11 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:1960.5%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.2pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-11 in 34
Postelt
Correct
gap of 12 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1418 vs Dousa 1460
Dousa
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 20% vs Dousa 40%
Dousa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 30% vs Dousa 50%
Dousa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt -3 · Dousa +1
Postelt
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Postelt) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.571 / Dousa 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Postelt)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13228233
Postelt1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 118 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 90 of 105
Dousa2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 37 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt8wins
AwayDousa2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt80%4 of 5
AwayDousa20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S2Postelt8Dousa2n = 10Postelt took 8 of 10
S3Postelt3Dousa7n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S4Postelt5Dousa5n = 10split evenly
S5Postelt5Dousa0n = 5Postelt took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltDousaP − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.739.1+5.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 815 vs 344 / 69952.2%49.2%425 / 815 vs 344 / 699Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.57/Dousa 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 19 · 15:00V. Postelt511011118113T. Dousa4512781172
WMay 19 · 17:30V. Postelt50811911113T. Dousa4811911982
WMay 19 · 15:30V. Postelt51131188113T. Dousa43111111192
WMay 18 · 16:00V. Postelt529111110113T. Dousa3611361242
LMar 19 · 20:00V. Postelt4010118111T. Dousa4312711133
WFeb 14 · 21:00V. Postelt4211911113T. Dousa29711651
LFeb 9 · 17:00V. Postelt34116981T. Dousa3851111113
WJan 20 · 18:30V. Postelt501011311153T. Dousa48126116132
WJan 20 · 15:30V. Postelt3712113113T. Dousa351071171
WJan 17 · 18:30V. Postelt4011117113T. Dousa26551151
V. Postelt10
WOct 2 · 15:00J. Prokupek1.91117781V. Postelt1.8081111113LOct 2 · 13:45V. Postelt1.5741491172M. Fisera2.251112116113LOct 2 · 12:00M. Kolar1.9191111113V. Postelt1.80117881LOct 2 · 11:00L. Malek3.751181012113V. Postelt1.25911121092WOct 2 · 10:30V. Postelt1.25911212113M. Fisera3.75118111072LSep 30 · 03:00V. Postelt1.508350J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 30 · 02:00V. Postelt1.141411991K. Darin5.0016511113WSep 30 · 01:00V. Postelt1.831112113J. Prokupek1.8381060LSep 30 · 00:00R. Pavelka2.101011118113V. Postelt1.6712291112WSep 29 · 22:30J. Plachy2.2071012101V. Postelt1.61111210123
T. Dousa10
WOct 1 · 17:07T. Dousa1.6351211113M. Kolar2.131110491LOct 1 · 16:00Y. Holovatiuk2.63911911113T. Dousa1.4411311752WOct 1 · 15:00M. Kolar2.2511118752T. Dousa1.57471111113LOct 1 · 14:30T. Dousa1.839970J. Dedek1.831111113LSep 23 · 20:58T. Dousa1.673840P. Klusacek2.101111113WSep 23 · 20:00P. Klusacek1.83711391T. Dousa1.8311811113LSep 23 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631011911113T. Dousa1.4412711862LSep 23 · 18:30T. Dousa1.739580P. Fojt2.001111113WSep 21 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk2.50571161T. Dousa1.5011116113WSep 21 · 20:00Y. Holovatiuk2.631211111032T. Dousa1.44148712113
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