TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vladimir Postelt vs Milan Fisera 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111412911116711
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingVladimir Postelt above · Milan Fisera below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11
96 points played in total.
H2H Vladimir Postelt 10–2 Milan Fisera Milan Fisera has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Postelt beat Fisera 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fisera form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.571 / Fisera 2.25
Czech Liga Pro · #13233253
Postelt1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 118 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 90 of 105
Fisera2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 16 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back21% 7 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt8wins
AwayFisera2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt100%7 of 7
AwayFisera66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt7Fisera3n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S2Postelt7Fisera3n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S3Postelt6Fisera4n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S4Postelt3Fisera2n = 5Postelt took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltFiseraP − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.633.3+2.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltFiseraBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 813 vs 148 / 33252.3%44.6%425 / 813 vs 148 / 332Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.57/Fisera 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
2–3
Fisera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 2 · 10:30V. Postelt45911212113M. Fisera47118111072
WDec 22 · 21:00V. Postelt4211124153M. Fisera4391011131
WNov 22 · 22:02V. Postelt331111113M. Fisera155730
WNov 22 · 21:00V. Postelt4211911113M. Fisera35811971
WAug 29 · 18:30V. Postelt331111113M. Fisera238780
LAug 16 · 03:00V. Postelt33714391M. Fisera45111211113
WAug 16 · 01:00V. Postelt47119115113M. Fisera4061161162
WJun 5 · 11:00V. Postelt341211113M. Fisera2610970
LJun 3 · 10:30V. Postelt125430M. Fisera331111113
WMay 18 · 20:00V. Postelt351211123M. Fisera26106100
V. Postelt10
LOct 2 · 12:00M. Kolar1.9191111113V. Postelt1.80117881LOct 2 · 11:00L. Malek3.751181012113V. Postelt1.25911121092WOct 2 · 10:30V. Postelt1.25911212113M. Fisera3.75118111072LSep 30 · 03:00V. Postelt1.508350J. Prokupek2.501111113LSep 30 · 02:00V. Postelt1.141411991K. Darin5.0016511113WSep 30 · 01:00V. Postelt1.831112113J. Prokupek1.8381060LSep 30 · 00:00R. Pavelka2.101011118113V. Postelt1.6712291112WSep 29 · 22:30J. Plachy2.2071012101V. Postelt1.61111210123LSep 26 · 02:00V. Postelt2.5097130D. Kouble1.501111153LSep 26 · 01:00V. Postelt2.108690V. Cermak1.671111113
M. Fisera10
LOct 2 · 12:30L. Malek1.731011711113M. Fisera2.0012511852LOct 2 · 11:30M. Fisera2.50101111852M. Kolar1.50125511113LOct 2 · 10:30V. Postelt1.25911212113M. Fisera3.75118111072LSep 26 · 21:30M. Fisera1.678690J. Didi2.101111113WSep 26 · 20:30V. Kosar2.38171141182M. Fisera1.531581113113WSep 26 · 19:30M. Fisera1.731051112113J. Didi2.00121191082WSep 26 · 18:30M. Stefek2.633390M. Fisera1.441111113LSep 12 · 17:04F. Jungman1.601211113M. Fisera2.2010780LSep 12 · 16:30M. Fisera2.754690M. Kolar1.401111113LSep 12 · 15:00M. Fisera2.5012813672A. Svoboda1.5010111111113
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